The SPX formed a large white candle confirming Wednesday’s potential reversal inside day. The SPX 1,196, up +18.10 or +1.54%, the COMPQ closed +38.39, the INDU rose +173.35 and the RUT finished +13.07 on Thursday.
Breadth was stronger as advancers led decliners 4.36 to 1 on the NYSE and 3 to 1 on the NASDAQ.
Exchange NYSE NASDAQ
Advancers 2,468 2,004
Decliners 573 669
Index Direction Confirmation
VIX Down Yes – SPX
SOX Up Yes – COMPQ
Leading stocks on Thursday included ARUN, CAM, CRM, LVS, FFIV, VMW, RVBD, UCO, FAS, AGW, MA, BA, VECO, POT, FCX, CF, INFA, IPI, DECK, A, MOS, USD, AGU, NDAQ, TSL, DOW, CREE, WHR, CAT, UAL, X, PCP, WLT, AKAM, SOHU, TIE, NYX, GR, AMX, CLF, MHS
Losing stocks included FAZ, F, NTES, DLR, GME, CMG, CSTR, GMCR, TBT, ESI, SKX
Interest rates inched higher, bonds moved higher, the Euro moved higher and the SOX closed higher +1.90%. The VIX fell -3.01 to close at 18.75.
All nine sectors moved higher on Thursday with Energy XLE +2.20% and Industrials XLI +2.03% leading all sectors up.
Continue to trade with the trend and simultaneously be prepared for any break of support.
Charts to Watch
Bull Flag Entries on Thursday – DOW, JOYG, X, WYNN, FAS, USD, BYI, GR, IPI, UAL, UNP, SOHU, VECO, MAR, ARUN, AIV, CLF, ILMN, PCLN, SNDK, SPG, LVS, DE, AAPL, NFLX, CTXS. FCX, SLB, PNC
Flag Setups – HUM, AMD, RMBS, ZION
SPX
Resistance: 1,200, 1,209, 1,220
Support: 1,190, 1,182, 1,170
Enter bullish trades with a bounce off support and a break above the high of the low day or a break out of horizontal resistance. Thursday was an entry signal for many stocks.
Look for break of short term support for bearish entry signals or a bounce down from the 30 DMA
The short term 3 day trend is up.
The two-month trend is up.
The twelve-month trend is up.
Continue to focus on and trade setups on the charts of the stocks you watch. Trade with the trend of the chart and follow your rules.
AAPL +7.93 – large white candle closing above support
QCOM -0.26– black candle near resistance
GOOG +13.01 – white candle close above high of low day
BIDU +1.22 – black candle bull flag bounce entry
NDX 100 stocks stronger than the NDX include NTAP, YHOO, BRCM, FWLT, VRTX, MXIM, AMZN, QGEN, NIHD, PCAR, WYNN, NVDA, ESRX, and FLEX.
Stocks weaker than the NDX: SHLD, ROST, GRMN, URBN, HOLX, DISH, COST, ISRG, BBBY, ADBE, TEVA, QCOM, APOL and INTC.
Stocks to Watch on Friday
Holding Above 30 DMA
HLF, PCLN, LVS, CMG, SINA, AIV, CAKE, CAM, DHR, UNP, WLT, A, ATW, SLB, NDAQ, USD, AMD, DECK, GR, GS, VECO, CSTR, RVBD, TBT, WFMI, NFLX, PNC, BYI, INFA, MHS, NETL, CRM, FFIV, ARUN, SWN, CAT, POT, GME, NTRI, X, CREE, BUCY, ESI, GES, HAS, JEC, MCD, UNG
Moving Above 30 DMA = 15
AIV, AMX, ARUN, CF, CLF, CRM, DE, DHR, DOW, FCX, INFA, MA, MOS, UAL, VMW
Moving Below 30 DMA = 2
FAZ, NTES
Staying Below 30 DMA
AMD, ATI, FAS, IPI, LDK, RMBS, SNDK, SPG, UCO, ZION, AKAM, GMCR, HANS, AGU, BICE, URE, V, ACN, CHL, FDX, NYX, PCP, STI, SWK, TSL, AKS, BA, HSY, POT, ESI, SKX, WHR, LXK, TIE, FAZ, CRUS, TLT, DLR
Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up – 2 months
Short Term Market Trend: Up
Thursday, November 18, 2010
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2 comments:
Dave,
I just wanted to say thanks for the continued updates on your blog. Your insight really helps me to be aware of the context and moderate my fear and greed.
It seems you may have put an invalid ticker in your leading stocks section just to see if anybody is really paying attention. My guess is that AGW is supposed to be ATW.
You posted:
The short term 3 day trend is up.
The two-month trend is up.
The twelve-month trend is up.
Why didn't you mention the short term as down for the last 2 weeks? A 3 day trend up can be just a bounce in the short term.
Any comments?
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