Tuesday, December 27, 2016

QQQ Hits a New Closing High...SPY, IWM, DIA Move Higher...Light Volume Continues...NVDA, TSLA Lead NDX...


Sector Trend Strength:
Up Trend: XLF, XLI, XLB, XLY, XLE, XLK, XLP
Sideways: XLV, XLU, XLRE
Down Trend:

Breadth strengthened as advancers led 1,861 to 1,154 on the NYSE and led 1,666 to 1,097 on the NASDAQ.

Tuesday – strengthened, advancers led, +9
Monday – Christmas Holiday Observance
Friday – strengthened, advancers led, +7
Thursday – weakened, decliners led, +3
Wednesday – weakened, decliners led, +2

Oil futures were up .64 to close at 53.89 on Tuesday.  


SPY up .56 at 226.27 on 42.6 million shares, 49% below average volume,
VIX up .55 at 11.99
TLT down .38 at 117.67…on 5.2 million shares, 50% below average volume

Technical Commentary:
QQQ +0.52%, IWM +0.45%, SPY +0.25%, DIA +0.08%,

Volume increased but remained light with SPY volume increasing just 6 million shares from Friday’s light holiday trading. Volume did increase from Friday’s level on AAPL, AMAT, AMZN, CSCO, FB, INTC, NFLX, NVDA and TSLA but remained lower on many other NDX stocks.

Broad market SPY, QQQ and DIA rallied higher on Tuesday.

SPX up 5 at 2,268

SPX Leaders NVDA, FSLR, RIG, MOS, NFLX, NRG, HP, CHK, LEN, FTI, VIAB, MLM, LM, TRIP, TIF, COG, VMC, MUR, NWSA, EBAY, AMZN, NOV, DHI, TDC, AMAT, PHM, LKQ, FLS, BIIB, MAC, PPG, VRTX, COO, AN, KLAC, XLNX, FMC, AES, ADM

QQQ posted a new all-time closing high on Tuesday, continuing above resistance for nine straight day.
  
NDX point gainers: AMZN, NVDA, AAPL, FB, NFLX, TSLA, CSCO, BIIB, CMCSA, QCOM, AMGN and GOOG


2016 Q4 EPS
EPS Positive Reactions
MU, CAG, NKE, KMX, CCL, JBL
EPS Negative Reactions
RHT, BBBY, FINL, AGN, FDX, GIS, ADBE


Follow your rules and look for potential re-entry if you were stopped out of any profitable trades.

Continue to move up stops on short term bullish trades that could pull back.  All according to your profit protection rules.  If you moved stops you may have been stopped out today.


Remember breakouts typically test about 70% of the time.

Technical analysis based trades should be closed before earnings.

Trade what you see, not…

Stocks below support should generally be traded bearishly until a reversal pattern forms.


______________________

Strong Stocks: Setups and Moves You Can Use
Bull Flag Setups include: COST, PAYX, FISV, SQ, TSCO, USB, GS, ALK, CTXS, WFM, INTC, FDX, UPS, ADBE, CHTR, DISCA, FAST, GILD, GOOG, MAR, BAC, ICE, CE, APA, BHI, STLD, LUV, UAL, AAL, WDC,

One Day Pullback:

Bull Flag Bounces include: SPY, IWM, QQQ, AVGO, AAPL, CHKP, PCAR, STX, PWR, LNG, FTI, DAL, AMAT, ADSK,

At Support Setups include: ROST, SBUX, WBA, BBY, NCLH, CC, ATVI, ATI

Support Bounce: PCLN,

Horizontal Breakout Setups include: EA, EBAY, DIA, FAS, MSFT, JPM, C, CMA, ETFC, HBAN, KEY, MS, RF, TRV, CSX, NUE, HIG, MGM, HAL, ADI, WDC, KLAC, TMUS, AKS, X, RCL, CCL, GD, DAL, BA, UTX, MMM, CHK, HES,

Horizontal Breakouts include: SOXL, STI, XLNX, LRCX, NFLX,

New Highs include: NVDA, TSLA, ADP, MU, CMCSA, ZION, CFG, SCHW, MCD,


______________________


Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.

CTAS, HAS, HOLX and KLAC were added to the NDX on Dec 19.  BBBY, NTAP, SRCL and WFM were removed in the annual changes to the NASDAQ-100.


The SPY MFC green line is in the upper zone at 92 bullish. 

79 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Wednesday.

66 NDX stocks are above their 30 DMA.

NDX Stocks to Watch on Tuesday:
Moving Above 30 DMA = 7
AMZN, HSIC, LBTYA, NTES, QCOM, SIRI, SYMC,

Moving Below 30 DMA = 4
ADSK, CELG, CTAS, ENDP,


6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Neutral

Friday, December 23, 2016

Stock Indices Inch Higher on Very Light Volume Going into Three-day Christmas Holiday Weekend...


Sector Trend Strength:
Up Trend: XLF, XLI, XLB, XLY, XLE, XLK, XLP
Sideways: XLV, XLU, XLRE
Down Trend:

For the week ended December 23, five of ten sectors moved higher.
XLF +0.94%, XLK +0.78%, XLI +0.66%, XLU +0.41%,
SPY +0.30%,
Lagging sectors XLP +0.02%, XLV -0.17%, XLE -0.21%, XLY -0.29%, XLB -0.30%, XLRE -0.36%,

YTD 248
Leading Sectors: XLE +26.57%, XLF +21.86%, XLI +18.83%, XLB +15.78%, XLK +14.34%, XLU +12.32%,
SPY +10.71%,
Lagging Sectors: XLY +5.49%, XLP +3.11%, XLRE -3.53%, XLV -3.57%


Breadth strengthened as advancers led 1,764 to 1,210 on the NYSE and led 1,903 to 866 on the NASDAQ.

Friday – strengthened, advancers led, +7
Thursday – weakened, decliners led, +3
Wednesday – weakened, decliners led, +2
Tuesday – strengthened, advancers led, +7
Monday – strengthened, advancers led, +7


Oil futures were up .60 to close at 53.25 on Friday.  


SPY up .33 at 225.71 on 36.6 million shares, 56% below average volume,
VIX up .01 at 11.44
TLT up .34 at 118.05…on 4.4 million shares, 58% below average volume

Technical Commentary:
IWM +0.53%, SPY +0.15%, QQQ +0.07%, DIA +0.04%,
  
Volume dropped again on Friday heading into the three-day Christmas weekend.  Low volume trading on SPY, QQQ, IWM, DIA and TLT are five examples. 

Broad markets rallied slightly on Friday.

SPX up 2.83 at 2,263

SPX Leaders WMB, DNB, RHT, NEM, VRTX, ENDP, AGN, REGN, NVDA, FTR, MNK, COG, ADSK, NRG, EQIX, BIIB, ILMN, ETFC, ALK, BMY, RRC, FLIR, SCHW, STZ, CHK, OKE, COO, TSN, EW, HUM, CAG, CI, CCL, AYI, URI, LH, EA, ABV, BCR, CAH

QQQ closed near Tuesday’s high above resistance for the eighth straight day.
  
NDX point gainers: NVDA, AAPL, REGN, BIIB, AMGN, CELG, TSLA, VRTX, AVGO and NTES
NDX point losers:  AMZN, MSFT, CMCDS, GOOGL and GOOG


2016 Q4 EPS
EPS Positive Reactions
MU, CAG, NKE, KMX, CCL, JBL
EPS Negative Reactions
RHT, BBBY, FINL, AGN, FDX, GIS, ADBE


Follow your rules and look for potential re-entry if you were stopped out of any profitable trades.

Continue to move up stops on short term bullish trades that could pull back.  All according to your profit protection rules.  If you moved stops you may have been stopped out today.


Remember breakouts typically test about 70% of the time.

Technical analysis based trades should be closed before earnings.

Trade what you see, not…

Stocks below support should generally be traded bearishly until a reversal pattern forms.


______________________

Strong Stocks: Setups and Moves You Can Use
Bull Flag Setups include: SPY, IWM, QQQ, COST, PAYX, FISV, SQ, TSCO, USB, GS, AVGO, ALK, CTXS, AAPL, WFM, INTC, FDX, UPS, ADBE, CHTR, CHKP, DISCA, FAST, GILD, GOOG, MAR, PCAR, STX, BAC, ICE, CE, PWR, APA, BHI, LNG, FTI, STLD, LUV, UAL,

One Day Pullback: AMAT, AAL,

Bull Flag Bounces include: ADSK, EA, EBAY,

At Support Setups include: ROST, SBUX, WBA, BBY, NCLH, CC, ATVI, PCLN, ATI

Support Bounce:

Horizontal Breakout Setups include: DIA, SOXL, FAS, MSFT, JPM, C, CMA, ETFC, HBAN, KEY, MS, RF, STI, TRV, CSX, NUE, HIG, MGM, HAL, ADI, XLNX, WDC,
LRCX, NFLX, NTAP, TMUS, AKS, X, RCL, CCL, GD, DAL, BA, UTX, MMM, CHK, HES,

Horizontal Breakouts include: ZION, CFG, SCHW,


New Highs include: NVDA, TSLA, ADP, MU, CMCSA, MCD,


______________________


Short-term Movers for the week:
SPX gainers:  SWN, COG, WHR, ZION, XL, SCHW, CNC, CHK, CAG, MHK +10, 1,  +4, 9
SPX losers:  RHT, FOSL, SPLS, FLSR, URBN, NFX, GGP, RL, GPS, AYI, KORS, FL, NBL, BBY, CME, LKQ, MRK, CAN, TDC, STZ, TGT, PX, -4, 24

NDX gainers:  MU, NVDA, ALXN, TSLA, NTES, WDC, +4, 6
NDX losers:  BBBY, DLTR, ROST, VRTX, LVNTA, -4, 38,

YTD: 248
SPX Leaders:  OKE, FCX, NEM, SE, PWR, CMA, CHK, MLM, HAL, ZION, (377, +22, > 10p 272, +34)
SPX Losers:  FSLR, PRGO, GCI, AGN, LB, HRB, UAA, MNK, MCK, FOSL

NDX Leaders:  NVDA, AMAT, MU, CHTR, TMUS, CSX, ULTA, PCAR, NTAP, LRCX, (65, +9, >10p 45, +8) since 12/2
NDX Losers:  ENDP, TRIP, VRTX, SRCL, ALXN, ILMN, MYL, REGN, GILD, LBTYA

DJI Leaders:  CAT, UNH, GS, JPM, CVX, IBM, MMM, XOM, VZ, UTX, (28, +5, >10p 17, +6
DJI Losers:  NKE, KO,


Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


The SPY MFC green line is in the upper zone at 92 bullish. 

69 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher and four were unchanged on Friday.

63 NDX stocks are above their 30 DMA.

NDX Stocks to Watch on Tuesday:
Moving Above 30 DMA = 5
ADSK, CELG, ENDP, ISRG, NXPI

Moving Below 30 DMA = 3
AMZN, ROST, SIRI


6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Neutral

Thursday, December 22, 2016

Broad Markets Drift Lower as AAPL, FB, AMZN, PCLN, GOOG Weak...BBBY, RHT Lower on EPS...MU Soars...


Sector Trend Strength:
Up Trend: XLF, XLI, XLB, XLY, XLE, XLK, XLP
Sideways: XLV, XLU, XLRE
Down Trend:

Breadth weakened as decliners led 1,738 to 1,247 on the NYSE and led 1,823 to 955 on the NASDAQ.

Thursday – weakened, decliners led, +3
Wednesday – weakened, decliners led, +2
Tuesday – strengthened, advancers led, +7
Monday – strengthened, advancers led, +7
Friday – weakened, advancers led on NYSE, +5

Oil futures were up .14 to close at 52.66 on Thursday.   


SPY down .39 at 225.38 on 55.9 million shares, 41% below average volume,
VIX up .16 at 11.43
TLT down .52 at 117.81…on 5.1 million shares, 57% below average volume

Technical Commentary:
DIA -0.10%, SPY -0.17%, QQQ -0.28%, IWM -1.27%,


Volume remained light on Thursday heading into the three-day Christmas weekend.  Low volume trading on SPY, DIA and TLT are three examples. 

Broad markets pulled back slightly on Thursday.


SPX down 4 points at 2,260.96

SPX Leaders MU, ALXN, CAG, MPC, REGN, MOS, CELG, HUM, FTR, WDC, SWKS, AMAT, AIV, VZ, SE, HSY, NVDA, VLO, ISRG, LRCX, PXD, HRL, BHI, AET, EXR, SRCL, DUK, PSA, AIZ, IFF, DLR, SWN, SYK, PSX, ES, AEE, ESS, AYI


QQQ closed near Tuesday’s high above resistance for the eighth straight day.
  
NDX point gainers: MU, CELG, ALXN, REGN, HC, NVDA, AMAT and CMCSA
NDX point losers:  AAPL, FB, AMZN, WBA, PCLN, GOOG, DLTR, GILD and AVGO



Earnings Reports

MU +2.61, +12.68% on a positive earnings reaction.
CAG +1.29, +3.39% on a positive earnings reaction.

RHT -11.08, -13.89% on a negative earnings reaction on missed revenues.
BBBY -4.18, -9.17% on a negative earnings reaction on missed EPS.

2016 Q4 EPS
EPS Positive Reactions
MU, CAG, NKE, KMX, CCL, JBL
EPS Negative Reactions
RHT, BBBY, FINL, AGN, FDX, GIS, ADBE

Follow your rules and look for potential re-entry if you were stopped out of any profitable trades.

Continue to move up stops on short term bullish trades that could pull back.  All according to your profit protection rules.  If you moved stops you may have been stopped out today.


Remember breakouts typically test about 70% of the time.

Technical analysis based trades should be closed before earnings.

Trade what you see, not…

Stocks below support should generally be traded bearishly until a reversal pattern forms.


______________________

Strong Stocks: Setups and Moves You Can Use
Bull Flag Setups include: SPY, IWM, COST, PAYX, FISV, SQ, TSCO, USB, ZION,
FDX, UPS, ADBE, ADSK, CHTR, DISCA, EA, EBAY, FAST, GILD, GOOG, MAR, PCAR, STX, BAC, ICE, CE, PWR, APA, BHI, LNG,

One Day Pullback: AVGO, ALK, CTXS, AAPL, WFM,
  
Bull Flag Bounces include: AMAT, FTI, SOXL,

At Support Setups include: ROST, SBUX, WBA, BBY, NCLH, CC, ATVI, PCLN

Support Bounce: DISH, NUE, ATI, CSX,

Horizontal Breakout Setups include: HIG, MGM, HAL, QQQ, DIA, ADI, MSFT, INTC, XLNX, WDC, AAL, CHKP, LRCX, NFLX, NTAP, TMUS, FAS, JPM, C, CFG, GS, CMA, ETFC, HBAN, KEY, MS, RF, SCHW, STI, TRV, AKS, X, STLD, RCL, CCL, GD, DAL, LUV, UAL, BA, UTX, MMM, CHK, HES,

Horizontal Breakouts include: MU,

New Highs include: NVDA, ADP, CMCSA, MCD, TSLA,


Break of Support: RHT, BBBY, SCHN, 


______________________

Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


The SPY MFC green line is in the upper zone at 92 bullish. 

32 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher and two were unchanged on Thursday.

61 NDX stocks are above their 30 DMA.

NDX Stocks to Watch on Friday:
Moving Above 30 DMA = 1
ALXN,

Moving Below 30 DMA = 5
FB, QCOM, SBUX, WBA, XRAY


6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up

3-day Short Term Market Trend: Neutral