©
2025
SPX +60.63, 5,675,
opened higher, traded in a choppy range before the 2 pm ET FOMC announcement. As expected, the Fed left rates unchanged,
and the market trended up after the announcement and during the 2:30 pm start
press conference.
Powell referenced in the FOMC press conference that the actual economic or hard data was stable, and it was the soft data from surveys that depicted
weakness. In other words, reality was
stable, and peoples’ opinions fluctuate.
He also referenced the concepts of signal and noise in his comments. Overall, my view, was that this was a very
interesting press conference and worth the listen.
Breadth strengthened as index ETFs rose and VIX
-1.80 declined.
Mega caps rose, and advancers were more than double decliners on both exchanges
and in the broad indexes. Net change advancing
capital was multiples of declining capital.
The DJI, 41,964 +0.92%, opened higher
and trended up. NDX +1.30% pulled
back resumed its rally after a one day pause.
TSLA +10.55, +4.68%, bounced and
closed above Tuesday’s high.
Mega caps TSLA, AVGO, GOOGL, NVDA, AMZN, AAPL, MSFT, BRK/B, META,
TSM rose on Wednesday.
SPY up 6.11 at 567.13, 66.2 million
shares, above average volume
VIX down 1.80 at 19.90
QQQ up 6.35 at 480.89
BA, AXP, IBM, CVX led the DJIA, 21 advancers, +13
BA, SMCI, RCL, CZR led the SPX, 364 advancers,
MSTR, APP, AXON, WBD led the NDX, 79 advancers
Up: IWM, QQQ, SPY, DIA,
Down:
The SPY
MFC green line pointed up to 19.2 and is short-term bullish. +3.2.
Ten of eleven sectors
were higher on Wednesday, led by XLY, XLE and XLI.
Uptrend sectors: XLC, XLF,
Neutral sectors: XLV, XLP, XLY, XLI, XLU, XLRE, XLE,
Down trend sectors: XLK, XLB,
The 6-month intermediate trend is sideways. The ten-day
trend is down.
3-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Down
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Up
79 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Wednesday.
29 NDX stocks are above their 30
DMA: CDW, ISRG, AEP, EXC, AMGN,
AZN, VRTX, MDLZ, MNST, EA, KDP, PDD, MU, INTC, CMCSA, CSGP, FAST,
INTU, ORLY, XEL, ASML, CCEP, FANG, AMD, MSTR, ROP, TTWO, WBD, ZS,
NDX Stocks to Watch on Thursday:
Moving Above 30 DMA = 6
AMD, MSTR, ROP, TTWO, WBD, ZS,
Moving Below 30 DMA = 5
BIIB,
GILD, KHC, LIN, TMUS,
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