Wednesday, December 18, 2024

SPX Largest 2024 Point Drop as Fed SEP Expects only 2 Rate Cuts in 2025...


© 2024


SPX -178.45, 5,872, fell (SPXs largest daily point drop in 2024) after the Fed lowered the Fed Funds rate 25 bps as expected, and released the SEP which indicated a decrease from four to two expected rate cuts in 2025.  The broad selloff continued to accelerate to the downside as the 2:30 pm press conference began.  The DJI fell for a tenth day to 42,326.  The RUT closed lower.

NDX -3.60% closed lower.

TSLA -39.73, -8.28%, opened lower, rallied to a new high and sold off with the market following the FOMC announcement.

SMCI -1.57, -4.64%, sold off with the market after the FOMC announcement. 

SMCI will be removed from the NDX 100 before the open on Dec. 23 along with MRNA and ILMNPLTR, AXON and MSTR will be added to the NDX.


Mega caps NVDA, BRK/B, AAPL, META, GOOGL, MSFT, AMZN, AVGO, TSLA fell on Wednesday.


SPY down 18.01 at 586.28, 108.2 million shares, above average volume,
VIX up 11.75 at 27.62,
VIX1D up 32.46 at 45.75, FOMC event risk on Wednesday did occur to the downside.
QQQ down 19.33 at 516.47

UNH, BA led the DJIA, 1 advancer, -8                                       
JBL, CI, UNH, CNC, CVS led the SPX, 18 advancers
EXC, TMUS led the NDX, 1 advancer

Up
Down:  DIA, SPY, QQQ, IWM,

The SPY MFC green line turned down at 80 and is counter-trend defensive. -11.1.

All eleven sectors were lower on Wednesday

Uptrend sectors:   XLY, XLC, XLK, XLF, XLI, XLP, XLU, XLRE,
Neutral sectors:  XLE, XLB,
Down trend sectors: XLV,

The 6-month intermediate trend is up.  The ten-day trend is down.

3-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-day Short Term Market TrendDown


1 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Wednesday.

20 NDX stocks are above their 30 DMA:  MRVL, NFLX, TSLA, WBD, AMZN, COST, DDOG, LULU, ROST, AAPL, SMCI, MSFT, ASML, META, LRCX, CCEP, WDAY, AVGO, GOOGL, MU,

NDX Stocks to Watch on Thursday:
Moving Above 30 DMA = 0



Moving Below 30 DMA = 25
APP, ARM, AZN, BKNG, CDNS, CPRT, CRWD, CTSH, DASH, DXCM, FTNT, GFS, GILD, HON, INTU, ISRG, KDP, KLAC, MAR, ORLY, PANW, PYPL, TEAM, TTD, TTWO,



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