Thursday, January 3, 2019

AAPL / ISM Mfg. Index Disappoint...SPX Drops 62 points...Jobs Report & Jerome Powell on Friday...



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S&P futures opened down about 21 points after AAPL had lowered revenue guidance for Q1 from was being lowered from $89 - $93 billion to $84 billion after the close on Wednesday. 

The SPX was down about 31 points at 10 am ET when the ISM manufacturing index came in at 54.1 for December down from 59.3 in November.  The SPX fell another 30 points in the 45 minutes after the report.

December Jobs Report at 8:30 am ET Friday.  Fed Chairman Jerome Powell participates on a panel at 10:15 am ET with former Fed chairs Bernanke and Yellen at American Economic Association annual meeting in Atlanta on Friday.

The DJIA, closed down 660 points at 22,686led by weakness in AAPL, BA, MMM, UNH and CAT.  

One of eleven sectors was higher on Thursday, led by real estate XLRE +0.46% and utilities XLU -0.02%.

SPY down 5.97 at 244.21 on 143.7 million shares, 2% above average volume. Down on higher volume.
VIX up 2.23 at 25.45 
Oil up .50 at 46.83
TLT up 1.39 at 123.54 on 21.1 million shares. 

VZ +0.36%, WMT -0.51%led the DJIA, 1 advancers, -14
HCP +3.60%, WY +3.99% and AAP +3.12%, led the SPX.
CELG +5.55%, INCY +7.08%, GILD +2.85%, and ALXN +2.20% led the NDX.

Long term up trend intact.  3-day short term trend is down.

Up
Down: IWM, SPY, DIA, QQQ,

Breadth weakened on Thursday, as decliners led 1,732 to 1,218 on the NYSE and led 2,143 to 922 on the NASDAQ

The SPY MFC green line turned down at 31 and is short-term bearish.

Uptrend sectors:  
Neutral sectors:  XLU, XLRE, XLB,
Down trend sectors: XLV, XLP, XLI, XLY, XLC, XLK, XLF, XLE,

The 6-month intermediate trend is down.  The ten-day trend is down slightly.

3-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Down
3-day Short Term Market TrendDown


12 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Thursday.

10 NDX stock is above its 30 DMA:  DLTR, REGN, WDAY, XRAY, ROST, LULU, CELG, INCY, NFLX, ORLY,


NDX Stocks to Watch on Friday:
Moving Above 30 DMA = 4
CELG, INCY, NFLX, ORLY,

Moving Below 30 DMA = 7
AVGO, EBAY, GOOGL, JD, PCAR, PYPL, QCOM,


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