Technical Commentary
On
Friday U.S. traders discounted the failure
of the healthcare bill to vote in the House.
On Monday Asian and European traders drove SP futures lower by more than
20 points. In the U.S., traders decided those
20 points were a buying opportunity for something that had been discounted on
Friday. The SPX opened at 2,329 and rallied 12 points to close at 2,341.
Friday the N.Y. Fed forecasted U.S.
economy growing at 2.96% in Q1 vs. 2.83% estimate and 2.96% growth in Q2 vs. a
2.53% estimate. Improving macro-economic conditions to continue.
Fed’s Evans states two rate
increases possible in 2017, 3 rate increases plausible, but 4 unlikely, he said
on Friday.
The intermediate and long-term
trends are still up.
IWM +0.19%, QQQ +0.16%, SPY -0.10%, DIA -0.25%,
Up Trend: XLK, XLU, XLV
Sideways: XLB, XLF, XLRE, XLI, XLY, XLP,
Down Trend: XLE
Breadth strengthened as advancers led 1,499
to 1,493 on the NYSE and led 1,613 to 1,249 on the
NASDAQ.
Monday
– strengthened, advancers led, +2 sectors
Friday –weakened, decliners led, +1
Thursday – strengthened, advancers led, +4 Wednesday
– strengthened,
advancers led on the NYSE, +7
Tuesday –
weakened, decliners led, +1
SPY down .24
at 233.62 on 87.4 million shares, 6%
above average volume,
VIX down .46
at 12.50
TLT up .55
at 121.43…on 6.8 million shares 17% below average volume
Oil futures were down .29 to close at 47.85 on Monday.
The SPY MFC green
line is pointed down at 51,
be defensive until SPY
moves above short-term support/resistance at 234.72.
6-month Intermediate
Term Market Trend: Up
3-day Short Term Market
Trend: Down
SPX and NDX Highlights
SPX down 2 points at 2,341.
SPX gainers HCA, UHS, BBY, VIAB, FLS, MNK,
REGN, NFX, CERN, EQT, WYNN, COH, CNC, TDG, SIG, MCK, FOSL, MUR, SWN, MYL, PRGO,
DLTR, KSU, DOW, TSO, NFLX, NEM, PX, CAH
QQQ closes up .21 at 130.84.
NDX percentage gainers: ENDP, VIAB,
REGN, TSLA, CERN, MYL, SHPG, DLTR, NFLX, ISRG, FOXA, CELG, MU, PCLN, NCLH,
LBTYA, HOLX, ILMN
56 of 100 NDX stocks closed
higher and four were unchanged on Monday.
53
NDX stocks are above their 30 DMA.
NDX Stocks to Watch on Tuesday:
Moving Above 30 DMA = 5
NFLX, NXPI, REGN, VIAB,
VRTX
Moving Below 30 DMA = 7
ADSK, AKAM, CHTR, KHC, NTES, PAX,
ORLY
_______________________________
Strong Stocks: Setups
and Moves You Can Use
Bull Flag Setups include: AMAT, AVGO, EA, EXPE, FISV, MXIM, NVDA, PAYX,
SYMC, TXN, ULTA, HD, JNJ, UNH, CLX, FLEX, MMM, WIX, MNST, NRG, HAS, EBAY, RCL,
Bull Flag Bounces include: FB, NFLX, NTES, NXPI, PCLN, SWKS, DIS, SOXL,
LVS, YHOO, (10)
One Day Pullback:
MACD Histogram Bullish Divergence: X, STX, BA, IBM, PANW,
Horizontal Breakout Setups include: ADBE, ATVI, HOLX, KLAC, LRCX, PCLN, DIS, SOXL,
LVS, CTRP, YHOO, BABA, PYPL, MCD, AMD, INTC, GDXJ, XLU, TLT, GLW, WDC, ALK,
LNG, AAL, UAL,
Horizontal Breakouts include: TSLA,
New Highs include: MAR, CCL, WYNN,
At Support Setups include: ADI, ADP,
AMZN, CMCSA, V, ROST, NUE, AA, LUV, CF, RF, CSX, ZION, STI,
Support Bounce: GLW, AMBA, IWM, DAL,
Break of Support: GS,
_______________________________
Earnings
2016 Q4 EPS (since
Mar 7)
EPS Positive Reactions
PVH,
CTAS, FDX, TIF, ADBE, ORCL, ULTA, SIG, HRB
EPS Negative Reactions
ACN, NKE, LEN, GIS, URBN,
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