Friday, February 24, 2017

SPY, DIA New All-time High Following Late Rally...QQQ, IWM Bull Flag Pattern...


Setups to Watch for Monday

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Technical Commentary


SPY, DIA = New all-time High
QQQ, IWM = Bull Flag pattern

Retail stocks were 13 of the top 30 SPX gainers on Friday including: FL, JWN, KSS, LB, GPS, BBY, DLTR, TGT, M, URBN, SPLS, ROST, SIG

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Up Trend: XLF, XLI, XLB, XLY, XLK, XLP, XLU, XLV, XLRE
Sideways:
Down Trend: XLE

Breadth strengthened as strengthened led 1,549 to 1,444 on the NYSE and decliners led 1,524 to 1,317 on the NASDAQ.

Friday – strengthened, advancers led on the NYSE, +8 sectors
Thursday – weakened, decliners led, +5
Wednesday – weakened, decliners led, +5
Tuesday – strengthened, advancers led, +10
Monday – George Washington’s Birthday


QQQ +0.19%, SPY +0.13%, DIA +0.05%, IWM -0.07%,

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SPY up .30 at 236.74 on 82.3 million shares, 13% above average volume,
VIX down .24 at 11.47
TLT up 1.34 at 122.01…on 11.3 million shares, 22% above average volume

Oil futures were down .34 to close at 54.02 on Friday.  

MU is a MACD bullish divergence setup.

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The SPY MFC green line is pointed up at 97 bullish

6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Neutral


SPX and NDX Highlights

SPX up 3 points at 2,367.

SPX  gainers FL, INTU, JWN, KSS, LB, NWL, STZ, EXC, PEG, GPS, FE, BBY, URI, JBHT, NRG, DLTR, EQIX, TGT, VTR, PAYX M, LUV, ECL, URBN, SPLS, HBI, NEE, ROST

QQQ closes up 25 cents at 130.26.
   
NDX point leaders: INTU, INCY, INTC, CSCO, CMCSA, GILD, COST, MDLZ, PYPL, AAPL, CSX and WBA

74 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher and one was unchanged on Friday.

84 NDX stocks are above their 30 DMA.


NDX Stocks to Watch on Monday:
Moving Above 30 DMA = 6
ALXN, FAST, FOXA, INTC, ORLY, VRSK

Moving Below 30 DMA = 3
BIDU, BMRN, MU


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Strong Stocks: Setups and Moves You Can Use

Bull Flag Setups include: QQQ, IWM, FAS, XLI, XLY, GDXJ, SOXL,
AXP, DD, GS, JPM, PG,
AAPL, ADBE, ADI, AMAT, AMZN, ATVI, AVGO, CHKP, CTRP, EA, FB, GOOGL, MAR, NCLH, PCAR, SWKS, TMUS, ULTA, WDC, YHOO
WIX, SHOP, WB, CC, BAC, WFC, ZION, STI, RF, HBAN, ETFC, STLD, DE, MS, NUE, CLF, X, SRCL,

One Day Pullback:  

Bull Flag Bounces include: SODA, RCL, NRG, NTAP, STX, (4)

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Horizontal Breakout Setups include: TLT, AMD, LRCX, IBM, INTC, FLEX, TXN, DIS, UNH, HIG, CSX, XLB, FAST, PCLN, ROST, MSFT, MCHP, MXIM, MU, VIAB, BABA, CAT,

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Horizontal Breakouts include: NTES,  

New Highs include: SPY, DIA, XLK, XLP, SQ, COST, GLW, BA, MCD, MMM, LUV, ADSK, KLAC, GD, AAPL, EBAY, FLEX, USB,


At Support Setups include: VALE, GM, UPS, MT, FCX, BHI,

Support Bounce: TLT, BABA, NVDA, CCL, HES, LNG, MGM,


Break of Support: CHK, HAL, CF, 

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Earnings

This week:
Monday – PCLN, SBAC
Tuesday – ENDP, QVCA, ROST, TGT, AZO, AMBA
Wednesday – DLTR, MNST, BBY, LOW
Thursday – JD, COST, KR
Friday – BIG

Earnings Reports
Positive earnings reactions
FL +6.43, +9.48%
INTU +7.31, +6.06%
JWN +2.52, +5.74%
KSS +2.08, +5.08%
MELI +7.97, +3.99%

Negative earnings reactions
FOSL -9.47, -5.13%
BMRN -1.78, -1.99%

2016 Q4 EPS (since Feb 6)
EPS Positive Reactions
FL, KSS, INTU, JWN, NCLH, CTRP, WMT, HD, HSIC, XRAY, SHPG, NTES, SRCL, NTAP, CSCO, SHPG, WIX, ADI, WYN, SODA, ATVI, CBG, MT, MHK, VIAB, K, CVS, REGN, PRU, WFM, GT, FISV, PNRA, BWLD, MCHP, CTSH, PXD, ORLY, ALK, MDLZ, CDW, TDG, CNC, NOV, EMR, CHD, TSO, ICE, CBOE, ADM, CAH, HAS, SALT,

EPS Negative Reactions
BIDU, BMRN, TSLA, SINA, LB, SLCA, VRSK, DISH, TRIP, ALXN, FOSL, AIG, DVN, KHC, NVDA, CERN, DNB, COTY, MAS, AKAM, GILD, CSRA, ICE, JEC, KORS, FMC, GM, FOXA, NWL, DO, SYY,



Add Comments here

15 comments:

Gary said...

Love the video Dave!! Moving in the right direction.

Dave Johnson said...

Gary...thanks for the feedback...it's a test today.

Michael Hayes said...

Yes Dave I loved the video, But it seemed you where a little nervous or reading from a script not your regular happy go lucky self
This is not a criticism at all really like the video


Michael Hayes

Dave Johnson said...

Michael...thanks for the feedback...zero, zip, nada, no script at all, just racing a clock to keep file size small enough to be able to load up on this test...you heard my brain multi-tasking... :) dont have the time to write scripts... :)

Michael Hayes said...

Thanks Dave

Michael Hayes said...

Dave just one Question the Video when I say view on YouTube I can't view it,
can only view it from Blog, on you tube IT SAYS CLOSED AD

maybe there a simple setting to fix

Thanks

Dave Johnson said...

Michael...local only...this is just a test at this time...

K said...

Dave,

What a pleasant surprise to find a cool video addition!!! Very nice!! :)

I really, really appreciate your blog!!

Thank you!!

Kathy :)

Don W said...

Nice Dave, Thanks
Don

Dave Johnson said...

Kathy...thank you for feedback and you're welcome!

Dave Johnson said...

Don...your feedback is appreciated...thank you...

Don W said...

CS Question for you:

Take AMD as an example, broke out on 2/22 and immediately pulled back into a flag. The break out trade is now is show a loss. Do you still consider taking the flag entry even if the break our trade is at a loss?

Thanks
Don

Dave Johnson said...

Don...typically 70% of breakouts test...AMD doing what most probable...could be taken as a re-breakout or flag...re-breakout slightly better entry...whether a trader takes a second position will depend on traders max risk per position and if they still have room to add...

Scott Avery said...

Interesting.......I don't see a video on my page. I love all the comments, and love all those charts. But could anyone tell me where that video is appearing on the page? thanks. Scott

Dave Johnson said...

Scott...it was a weekend test...