Thursday, January 12, 2017

Broad Indexes Pause, Pull Back at Resistance...


Sector Trend Strength:
Up Trend: XLF, XLI, XLB, XLY, XLE, XLK, XLP, XLRE, XLV
Sideways: XLU
Down Trend:

Breadth weakened as decliners led 1,793 to 1,198  on the NYSE and led 1,802 to 965 on the NASDAQ.

Thursday – weakened, decliners led, +3 sectors
Wednesday – strengthened on the NYSE, advancers led, +8
Tuesday – strengthened, advancers led, +6
Monday – weakened, decliners led, +1
Friday – strengthened, decliners led, +9

Oil futures were up .66 to close at 53.03 on Thursday.  


SPY down .57 at 226.53 on 72.1 million shares, 13% below average volume,
VIX up .28 at 11.54
TLT down .27 at 121.89…on 9.6 million shares, 5% below average volume

Technical Commentary:
QQQ -0.15%, SPY -0.25%, DIA -0.29%, IWM -0.77%,

QQQ pulled back from its all-time high while SPY, DIA and IWM pulled back from resistance in their short-term sideways range remaining horizontal resistance breakout setups. 

QQQ, SPY, DIA and IWM pulled back to support after the open on below average volume where big money stepped in and rallied the indexes forming hammer/dragonfly doji on each chart.

TIF +3.61% leads SPX.

SPX down 5 points at 2,270

SPX  gainers TIF, AA, ABC, DISCA, LLY, CPB, MNK, AYI, NRG, BBY, AMZN, O, CNC, ANTM, KIM, CERN, BXP, MCO, IRM, LKQ, HRL, CI, RRC, PBI, KR, LYB, SNI, EVHC, GPS, EQR, DRI, FAST, MAA, HAS, CSRA, UDR, KMI, SLG, KSS, EL, MCK

QQQ closes down 19 cents at 122.74 after rising for seven straight days.
   
NDX point leaders: AMZN, FB, KHC, INCY, CSX and PYPL


Earnings this week:
Monday – AYI, GPN, CMC
Tuesday
Wednesday – KBH
Thursday – DAL
Friday – BAC, BLK, JPM, PNC, WFC

2016 Q4 EPS
EPS Positive Reactions
SNX, MSM, CUDA, GPN, MU, CAG, NKE, KMX, CCL, JBL
EPS Negative Reactions
AYI, CMC, STZ, SCHN, RHT, BBBY, FINL, AGN, FDX, GIS, ADBE


Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.

Follow your rules and look for potential re-entry if you were stopped out of any profitable trades.

Remember breakouts typically test about 70% of the time.

Technical analysis based trades should be closed before earnings.

Trade what you see, not…

Stocks below support should generally be traded bearishly until a reversal pattern forms.


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Strong Stocks: Setups and Moves You Can Use
Bull Flag Setups include: NTES, MS, ADP, SBUX, GOOG, TSLA, SQ, F, FAS, DE, FISV, UTX, GD, COST, CMA, NFLX, XLNX, PAYX, JPM, C, LNG, HAL, EBAY, STLD, USB, XLRE, XLV, AVGO, TMUS, ETFC, DE,

One Day Pullback: QQQ, CCL, CHTR, FCAU, AKAM, RCL, ADBE, FTI,

Bull Flag Bounces include: KLAC, CTXS,

At Support Setups include: MMM, MSFT, ZION, ICE, ATI, EA, X, PWR, MAR, INTC, JPM, STLD,

Support Bounce: FAST, WBA, IWM, HES, BHI, DISCA, ADI, TRV, CC, UPS, APA,

Horizontal Breakout Setups include: SPY, WDC, SOXL, FSLR, VALE, FAST, CFG, MU, DAL, LUV, CAR, TSCO, TLT, CE, MGM, BBY, TXN, DIA, AMAT, AAL, ATVI, GS, BA, AKAM, STI, HBAN, KEY, RF, HIG, LRCX, MCD, NVDA, ADSK, PCLN, ADI, CC, ROST, WBA, APA, MT, MTL, AKS, NUE

Horizontal Breakouts include: ALK, GM, CLF, CHTR, CE, NCLH, CMCSA, PCAR,

New Highs include: AMZN, CHKP, CSX, FB, ALK, GM, QQQ, AAPL, SCHW,

Break of Support: STX, 


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The SPY MFC green line is in the upper zone at 89 bullish


35 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher and one was unchanged on Thursday.

82 NDX stocks are above their 30 DMA.

NDX Stocks to Watch on Friday:
Moving Above 30 DMA = 3
EA, EXPE, FAST

Moving Below 30 DMA = 2
GILD, TSCO

6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Neutral

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