Thursday, January 26, 2017

Dow Hits 20,100...DJIA, NDX Make New All-time Closing High as SPX Pauses...VIX Hits 52-week Low...


Up Trend: XLI, XLB, XLY, XLK, XLP, XLRE, XLV
Sideways: XLU, XLF
Down Trend: XLE

Breadth weakened as decliners led 1,558 to 1,440 on the NYSE and led 1,719 to 1,066 on the NASDAQ.

Thursday – weakened, decliners led, +6 sectors
Wednesday – weakened slightly, advancers led, +7
Tuesday – strengthened, advancers led, +8
Monday – weakened, advancers led on the NYSE, +4
Friday – strengthened, advancers led, +9

Oil futures were up .77  to close at 53.71 on Thursday.  

SPY down .26 at 229.33 on 59.8 million shares, 26% below average volume,
VIX down .18 at 10.63
TLT up .40 at 119.20…on 7.9 million shares, 14% below average volume

Technical Commentary

DIA +0.15%, QQQ +0.10%, SPY -0.10%, IWM -0.40%,

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 21,0000.91, above 20,000 for only the second time.  The NDX made another new all-time closing high on Thursday while the SPX paused.

The VIX closed at 10.63, a new 52-week closing low.

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SPX down 1 point at 2,297 pausing on Thursday after making a new all-time closing high on Wednesday.

SPX  gainers URI, RCL, LUV, SHW, CHTR, EBAY, TXT, HM, AAL, LLL, STX, CMCSA, ALK, SNI, IRM, UAL, FOXA, SYF, VIAB, BIIB, DOW, CCL, SWN, CBS, APA, RRC EQT, DVA, FTR, NVDA, DD, CSX, NUE, ABT, LMT, ALB, COF, DVN, CTL

QQQ makes a new closing high up .13 at 125.56.
   
NDX point leaders: CHTR, CMSCA, MSFT, FB, TMUS, EBAY, AMZN, BIIB, NVDA, AAL and CSX

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Earnings

This week:
Monday – HAL, MCD, ZION
Tuesday – AA, AKS, ATI, BABA, CA, DD, GLW, ISRG, JNJ, KMB, LMT, MMM, STLD, STX, TRV, TXN, VZ,
Wednesday – BA, CTXS, EBAY, FCX, FFIV, HBAN, HES, LRCX, LVS, MUR, NSC, QCOM, STT, T, URI, UTX, VRTX, WDC, XLNX
Thursday – BHI, BIIB, CAT, CELG, CMCSA, ETFC, F, FCAU, GOOGL, INTC, JBLU, JNPR, KLAC, LUV, MSFT, MXIM, PYPL, RCL, SBUX, VMW, WYNN
Friday

Earnings Reports
Positive earnings reactions
URI +12.80, +11.20%
RCL +7.97, +9.09%
LUV +4.46, +9.02%
EBAY +1.51, +5.00%

Negative earnings reactions
WHR -16.26, -8.55%
FFIV -12.03, -8.25%
LVS -4.24, -7.48%
CTXS -6.22, -6.50%
QCOM -2.85, -5.01%
MUR -1.08, -3.36%
LRCX -2.59, -2.22%
WDC -1.55, -1.94%

After-hours reports
GOOGL -18.08, -2.11%
MSFT +0.92, +1.43% 

2016 Q4 EPS
EPS Positive Reactions
STX, LOGI, ROK, BA, HBAN, ISRG, NSC, ATI, GLW, RMD, DHI, DD, MB, BABA, CA, YHOO, SWKS, KSU, PG, CFG, COL, IBM, CHKP, NFLX, UNP, FAST, WFC, SNX, MSM, CUDA, GPN, MU, CAG, NKE, KMX, CCL, JBL
EPS Negative Reactions
STLD, CA, FCX, HES, STT, AKS, VZ, JNJ, LMT, MMM, TRV, HAL, MCD, GE, NTRS, CSX, C, CMA, MS, UNH, AYI, CMC, STZ, SCHN, RHT, BBBY, FINL, AGN, FDX, GIS, ADBE

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Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.

Follow your rules and look for potential re-entry if you were stopped out of any profitable trades.

Remember breakouts typically test about 70% of the time.

Technical analysis based trades should be closed before earnings.

Trade what you see, not…

Stocks below support should generally be traded bearishly until a reversal pattern forms.



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Strong Stocks: Setups and Moves You Can Use
Bull Flag Setups include: SQ, NFLX, NTES, SYMC, SWKS, TSLA, CHKP, FAST, MT, ATI, DISCA, IYR, MCD,

One Day Pullback: KLAC, SOXL, WDC, ADBE, LRCX, AMAT, MXIM, CF, INTC, PCAR, SBUX, ADSK, PAYX, WB, ADI,

Bull Flag Bounces include:

At Support Setups include: FISV, TLT, MMM, TRV, ADP, ROST, HES, NUE, CLF, UTX, XLNX,

Support Bounce: STLD, X, GD,

Horizontal Breakout Setups include: MSFT, ETFC, MS, WFC, ZION, KEY, BAC, FAS, JPM, RF, ICE, CMA, MU, IWM, DAL, AAL, CHK, SHOP, GM, COST, ATVI, MAR, APA, EA, FCAU, UPS, MGM, HIG, GS, FTI, C, BHI, PCLN, MGM,

Horizontal Breakouts include: PNC, LUV, EBAY, USB, NVDA, ALK,

New Highs include: LNG, BA, TMUS, FB, STX, STI, PNC, CFG, HBAN, SCHW, USB, QQQ, DIA, SPY, HAL, AVGO, AMZN, TXN, CSX, CHTR, AAPL, PCLN, NCLH, RCL, CCL, NRG, VIAB, CMCSA, GOOGL, BABA, DE, ATI, CF, VALE, JD, YHOO, PWR,

Break of Support: AKS, CTXS, 

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The SPY MFC green line is in the upper zone at 90 bullish.

38 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Thursday.

70 NDX stocks are above their 30 DMA.

NDX Stocks to Watch on Friday:
Moving Above 30 DMA = 3
CTAS, DISCA, SBAC,

Moving Below 30 DMA = 10
ADP, AKAM, ALXN, CTSH, CTXS, DISH, FISV, HAS, MAT, XLNX


6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Up

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