Wednesday, December 30, 2015

Stocks Float on a Sea of Red as Volume Falls...2015 Final Day of Trading on Thursday...Happy New Year...

All nine sectors moved lower on WednesdayXLU, XLP and XLV were the strongest sectors while XLE was the weakest sector.  All nine sector ETFs recorded volume drops of 12% to 60% below average.

Breadth weakened as decliners led advancers 2.45 to 1 on the NYSE and 2.36 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Wednesday – weakened, decliners led
Tuesday – strengthened, advancers led
Monday – weakened, decliners led
Friday – Christmas Holiday
Thursday- weakened, advancers led


SPY down 1.47 at 205.93 on 63.3 million shares, 42% below average volume
VIX up 1.21 at 17.29…
TNX down .04 at 23.03…
TLT down .12 at 120.04…on 5.5 million shares
XLF down .17 at 24.07…on 15.7 million shares, 60% below average volume

AAPL down 1.42 at 107.32 on 25.2 million shares, 34% below average volume
FB down 1.04 at 106.22 on 13.1 million shares, 33% below average volume

Technical Commentary:
DIA -0.67%, SPY -0.71%, QQQ -0.90%, IWM -1.01%.

EIA weekly Petroleum Status Report showed and increase of 2.6M barrels and oil fell 50 cents to 36.83 on Wednesday leading energy sector stocks lower including: SWN, RRC, CNX, MRO, CHK, COG, DVN, KMI, NBL, RIG, MUR, EQT, APC, ESV, NFX, OKE,HP, COP and HES.

Solar stocks SEDG, SCTY, TERP and FSLR found a little sizzle on Wednesday.

Trading volume continued to fall on Wednesday before New Year’s Eve on Thursday with SPY 42% below average volume, QQQ 33% below average volume, DIA 51% below average volume and IWM 29% below average volume.

Expect volume to continue to be light on Thursday except in the case of 2015 tax-loss selling on some down-trending stocks.  Markets are closed on Friday, January 1 in celebration of New Year's Day.  Have a wonderful and safe 3-day Holiday weekend.


Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.

The SPX MFC green line is pointed up at 64. 

Short-term Chart Targets:
SPY =...208.49, 209.75
QQQ = 114.94, 115.40…
IWM = 115.56, 117.16…
                   
Support Levels
SPY = 203.94
QQQ = 111.51
IWM = 112.95

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Setups
Horizontal Breakout: IWM, CRM, KR, NTES, PLAY, TBT, W, YELP, ADBE, ADSK, ATVI, AVGO, COST, EBAY, FB, GOOGL, INTC, LRCX, MSFT, MYL, NVDA, ORLY, ROST, SWKS, TSLA, XLNX,
Diagonal Breakout: FAS, ETFC, PANW, SCHW, SOHU, STI, V, VRSN, VXX, ZION
Bull Flag: QQQ, SPY, AA, BXLT, CSIQ, DAL, FINL, FIVE, FSLR, GOGO, JASO, KWEB, MPEL, RUN, SCTY, SOHU, SPWR, SUNE, SVXY, TERP, TSL, YNDX, AMZN, JD,
Potential Bullish Divergence: SLCA
At Support: AAPL, NFLX,
C- Pattern: SBUX

Moves
New Highs: RCL, SEDG, SONC
Bull Flag Bounce: SEDG
Bear Flag: LNKD, TXN
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10 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Wednesday.

59 NDX stocks are above their 30 DMA.

NDX Stocks to Watch on Thursday:
Moving Above 30 DMA = 0
  

Moving Below 30 DMA = 6
AAL, INTU, PCAR, SBUX, SIRI, YHOO

6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Neutral
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Neutral

3 comments:

Gary said...

Well Dave, they're may be two firsts in this years Presidential term. Times are changing and they're not instilling the same values to the newer generation? Sorry I missed wishing you a Merry Christmas but I hope you and your family have a Happy New Year!!

Gary

Dave Johnson said...

Gary, We agree. Thank you and Happy New Year to your family also.

Michael Hayes said...

Happy New Year Dave, Hope Susan recovers quickly
Thanks for your coaching and all your hard work you put into the education
Really appreciate the Dedication

Cheers
Mike