Wednesday, October 21, 2015

SPX Pullback at Resistance...Small Caps Roll...Earnings Gap Up and Down...

Two sectors moved higher on Wednesday…XLI, XLP, XLU were the strongest sectors while XLE was the weakest sector.

Breadth weakened as decliners led advancers 2.46 to 1 on the NYSE and 2.87 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Wednesday – weakened, decliners led
Tuesday – strengthened, mixed
Monday – weakened, mixed
Friday – weakened, mixed
Thursday – strengthened, advancers led


SPY down 1.24 at 201.85 on 101.8 million shares
VIX up .95 at 16.70…
TNX down .41 at 20.30…
TLT up 1.22 at 124.05…on 6.6 million shares
XLF down .17 at 23.50…on 23.7 million shares

AAPL down .01 at 113.76 on 42.2 million shares
FB up .11 at 97.11 on 21.9 million shares

Technical Commentary:
DIA -0.31%, SPY -0.61%, QQQ -0.61%, IWM -1.52%.

Positive earnings reactions included MANH +5.88%, GM +5.79%, ISRG +5.58%, BHI +2.33%, SNDK +2.11%, BA +1.66% and ABT +1.10%.

Negative earnings reactions included VMW -19.40%, CMG -5.66%, IBKR -5.66% and YHOO -5.21%.

After the close EBAY +8.43%, CTXS +6.56%, TSCO +4.35%, LVS +3.54% and AXP -3.79%.

Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.

Earnings this Week:
Monday – HAL, HAS, HA, IBM, MS, STLD, UTX, ZION
Tuesday – ATI, CMG, HOG, IBKR, ISRG, LMT, MANH, RF, TRV, VZ, VMW, YHOO
Wednesday – ABT, AXP, BHI, BA, CA, CTXS, KO, EBAY, GM, LVS, OSTK, SNDK, TXN, TSCO,
Thursday – MMM, ALK, AMZN, T, ETFC, FCX, GIMO, JNPR, LLY, NDAQ, NUE, SIRI, SKX, LUV, SWK, UA, UAL, VRSN,
Friday – AAL, RCL, STT, WHR

Short-term Chart Targets:
SPY =...204.15, 205.38
QQQ = 108.46, 109.03
IWM = 116.30, 118.55…

Support Levels
SPY = 201.92, 198.94...
QQQ = 105.49
IWM = 112.66...


The SPX Market Forecast is pointed up at 93.7.

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Setups
Horizontal Breakout: GME, JCP, ULTA, AAPL,
Diagonal Breakout: LITE,  
Bull Flag: IWM, SPY, QQQ, C, CRM, DAL, JBL, JUNO, MBLY, MPEL, QIHU, SVXY, JASO, VIAV, YNDX, YY, ADBE, AMZN, BIDU, GILD, GOOGL 
At Support: AA, AMBA, TASR, TPX, ATI, SCSS  

Moves
New Highs: COST,
H Breakout: CRUS,  
D Breakout: GMCR
MACD Divergence Bounce: VXX 
Gap Up: SWI,   
Gap Down: EMC, TWTR
Support Break: CYBR, PANW, RPD, RUN, SEDG, SUNE, FOGO, UNG, MYL, YHOO,


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Watch List Stocks
Leading stocks > +2% on Wednesday: SWI, VXX, CRUS, GME
           
Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: SUNE, RPD, SVXY, CYBR, RUN, ETSY, AMBA, SEDG, X, SOHU, TSL, FIT, CSIQ, GPRO, PANW, FSLR, SCTY, QIHU, BABA, AA, PLAY, PYPL, ZION, JUNO, SUM, HOG, FAS, MS, JBL, CRM, ETFC

26 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Wednesday.

Leading NDX 100 stocks included: KLAC, ISRG, BIIB, GMCR, ADI, SNDK, GRMN, LRCS, ALXN, REGN

Lagging NDX stocks included: VIP, CHTR, CTXS, YHOO, WDC, MYL, MU, WYNN, STX, ILMN

NDX Stocks to Watch on Wednesday:
Moving Above 30 DMA = 1
ISRG

Moving Below 30 DMA = 7
AKAM, CA, CTXS, MU, WYNN, CHTR, JD

6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Down
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Neutral/Down

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