Friday, October 30, 2015

SPX Best Month Since 2011...FSLR, LNKD, EXPE, ABBV Gap Higher on EPS...

Four sectors moved higher on FridayXLE, XLU and XLY were the strongest sectors while XLF was the weakest sector.  

For the week XLV, XLY and XLB were the only sectors that rose.  XLF was down slightly.
                   (click image to enlarge)

Breadth strengthened on the NYSE as advancers led decliners 1.17 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.40 to 1 on the NASDAQ decliners led advancers.

Friday – mixed, mixed
Thursday – weakened, decliners led
Wednesday – strengthened, advancers led
Tuesday – weakened, decliners led
Monday – weakened, decliners led


SPY down .90 at 207.93 on 131 million shares
VIX up .46 at 15.07…
TNX down .22 at 21.51…
TLT up .92 at 122.78…on 11.8 million shares
XLF down .35 at 24.08…on 51 million shares

AAPL down 1.03 at 119.50 on 49.3 million shares
FB down 2.91 at 101.97 on 33.4 million shares

Technical Commentary:
SPY -0.43%, QQQ -0.45%, IWM -0.46%, DIA -0.50%.
                   (click image to enlarge)


The broad markets SPY, QQQ, DIA exhibited slowing momentum both on Friday and for the week.  This should be expected with SPY returning to the middle of its sideways consolidation channel from February to August.  Be prepared for a potential short-term pull back going into next week, perhaps forming another bull flag.
                  (click image to enlarge)

Short-term Chart Targets:
SPY =...209.59, 211.05
QQQ = 114.11, 118.17
IWM = 117.14, 118.55…

Support Levels
SPY = 205.79
QQQ = 112.27
IWM = 113.10

The SPX Market Forecast is at 96.

FB will report earnings Wednesday after the close and saw profit-taking on Friday after LNKD blew away its earnings estimates.

Big money continued to rotate money to earnings winners like FSLR, LNKD, EXPE, ABBV, TRMB and NUS
                   (click image to enlarge)

…and rotate money from earnings losers like SCTY, EA, CVS and AKAM
                  (click image to enlarge)


Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.

Earnings this past Week:
Monday – BRCM, CHKP, GLW, PBR, SOHU, SWI
Tuesday – AAPL, AKAM, BMY, DD, FISV, GILD, GRUB, JBLU, PCAR, TWTR, SLCA, UHS, VDSI, VRSK, YNDX, MRK, PFE, CMCSA, ESRX,
Wednesday – AMGN, AXTA, BWLD, CAVM, GRMN, GD, GPRO, MCHP, NXPI, ORLY, PYPL, VLO, VLKAY, YELP, MAR, CRUS,
ThursdayAET, ALXN, MO, BIDU, CME, DB, EA, EXPE, FSLR, GT, LC, LNKD, MA, MGM, SCTY, TPX, VA, WWE
FridayABBV, CBOE, CVX, CVS, XOM, MYL

Earnings next Week:
Monday – AIG, ZU
Tuesday – ATVI, AFSI, ADM, CBS, CHK, DVA, DISCA, EXPD, HLF, K, MBLY, NCLH, PZZA, PAYC, TASR, X, VMC
Wednesday – FB, CTSH, DDD, CDW, EPAM, ETSY, FEYE, HABT, LMCA, LVNTA, MRO, MSI, SHOP, SUNE,
Thursday – MNST, NVDA, TRIP, ACAD, APA, CYBR, DWA, GLOB, LBTYA,
Friday – CI, HUM, VIP
__________________

Setups
Horizontal Breakout: BABA (long term), FIT, JBL, LVS, MPEL, NTES, SCHW, SOHU, TPX, ULTA, SLCA, ADBE, ESRX, ROST,
Diagonal Breakout: IBM, JBLU, MBLY, PANW, SUM, VXX, X, SHAK, TAN, NFLX,  
Bull Flag: IWM, AIG, BAC, BX, C, ETFC, FAS, JUNO, SONC, STI, AXTA, KNDI, XONE, CELG, EA, EBAY, INTC, MSFT, TXN, XLNX
                   (click image to enlarge)
At Support: UBNT, TSLA

Moves
New Highs: CCL   
D Breakout: CYBR,     
Bull Flag Bounce: CTRP, DAL, RCL, UAL, TRIP, CY   
MACD Divergence Bounce: BBY, SWKS,      
Bounce: UNG, UPL, VIAB,   
Gap Up: EXPE, FSLR, LNKD, BIDU, PCLN,      
Gap Down: SCTY, SEDG
Support Break: RUN, FEYE
______________________


45 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Friday and two were unchanged.

81 NDX stocks are above their 30 DMA.

NDX Stocks to Watch on Monday:
Moving Above 30 DMA = 4
AVGO, BBBY, BRCM, DLTR

Moving Below 30 DMA = 0


6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Neutral
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Down




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