Friday, September 25, 2015

NKE Gaps Higher Leads DJIA...Financials Lead Sectors Following Yellen Comments...

Five sectors moved higher on Friday…XLF, XLU, XLP were the strongest sectors while XLV was the weakest sector.

Breadth was mixed as decliners led advancers 1.08 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.94 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Friday – mixed, decliners led
Thursday – mixed, decliners led
Wednesday – strengthened, decliners led
Tuesday – weakened, decliners led
Monday – mixed, mixed



SPY down .05 at 192.85 on 155 million shares, below average volume
VIX up 0.15 at 23.62…
TNX up .48 at 21.68…
TLT down 1.06 at 121.54…on 8.3 million shares
XLF up .33 at 22.81…on 45 million shares, below average volume

AAPL down .29 at 114.71 on 56.1 million shares
FB down 1.64 at 92.77 on 28.9 million shares

Technical Commentary:
DIA +0.62%, SPY -0.03%, QQQ -0.85%, IWM -1.31%.

NKE +10.21, +8.89% gapped higher on a positive earnings reaction to lead the DJIA and DIA to a gain.  CSCO, JPM, PG and GS were also DJIA leaders on Friday. 

The SPX was near unchanged led by NKE and the financial sector gainers GNW, ICE, KEY, NDAQ, C, NTRS, BK, ETFC, CCI, CME, USB, CME, FITB, STI, BAC, JPM and ZION.  Fed Chair Janet Yellen made comments Thursday evening regarding an interest rate hike before year end.

The NDX was weighed down by selloffs in AMZN, GOOG, AMGN, GILD, FB, REGN, CELG, BIIB, VRTX, ALXN, ILMN, PCLN and ESRX.

Volatility remains high and is causing 25 to 40 point daily ranges in the SPX which is in a four week sideways trend.  The SPX on Thursday fell to Sep 4 support making a similar low.  Friday opened higher but was unable to hold gains and closed flat for the day.


Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.

Short-term Chart Targets:
SPY =...197.68
QQQ = 105.61, 106.93
IWM = 115.70, 116.42…

Support Levels
SPY = 190.56, 189.74...
QQQ = 102.27, 101.34
IWM = 110.93, 109.11...


The SPX Market Forecast is pointed down at 31.

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Setups
Horizontal Breakout: RPD, W, ULTA
Diagonal Breakout: SVXY,
Bull Flag: BBY, CCL, DAL, EXPE, FIT, JBLU, JCP, NCLH, P, PANW, RCL, SHOP, SWKS, VRSN,
Potential Bullish Divergence: MBLY, MS, SUM
At Support: SPY, GME, GPRO, LVS, SUNE

Moves
New Highs: NKE, UA, FL
Bull Flag Bounce: CRM, UA
Bounce: VXX,
Gap Up: NKE, JBL, CRUS, AIG, BAC, C, ETFC, FAS, FL, SCHW, TSL, ZION

______________________

Watch List Stocks
Leading stocks > +2% on Friday: NKE, FAS, C, SEDG, ETFC, VXX, TSL, STI, BAC, ZION
                                                       
Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: AMBA, SUNE, ETSY, MBLY, GPRO, SUM, SCTY, FIT, SHAK, SVXY, YOKU, CTRP

44 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Thursday.

Leading NDX 100 stocks included: CSCO, JD, AVGO, TSCO, ATVI, EXPD, ORLY, AKAM, SWKS

Lagging NDX stocks included: VRTX, ILMN, REGN, CELG, MYL, BMRN, AMGN, ISRG, BIIB, MU, STX, WYNN, CERN

NDX Stocks to Watch on Monday:
Moving Above 30 DMA = 4
INTC, JD, MSFT, SWKS

Moving Below 30 DMA = 2
CHTR, PCLN


6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Down
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Down

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