All nine sectors moved lower
on Friday… XLY, XLV, XLU were the strongest sectors while
XLF was the weakest sector.
Breadth weakened as
decliners led advancers
3.19 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.55 to 1 on the NASDAQ.
Friday – weakened, decliners led
Thursday – weakened,
advancers led
Wednesday –
strengthened, advancers led
Tuesday – weakened,
decliners led
Monday – weakened,
decliners led
SPY down 2.96 at 192.59 on 207 million shares
VIX up 2.19 at 27.80…
TNX down .40 at 21.28…
TLT up 1.11 at 122.68…on
27.3 million shares
XLF down .46 at 22.65…on
44 million shares
AAPL down 1.10 at 109.27 on 49.9
million shares
FB down .11 at 88.26 on 27.3 million shares
Technical Commentary:
IWM -0.76%, QQQ -1.19%, SPY -1.51%, DIA
-1.65%.
ES futures moved over 20 points
lower on Thursday night and dropped to 1,910 after the August
Jobs Report showed about 50,000 fewer jobs created than forecast. After the market open the SPX traded
in a range between 1,911 and 1,932 before closing down -29.91 at
1,921.22.
Since the Monday, August
24 1,867 SPX low, buyers have continued to come in above that level. On Tuesday, buyers took over at 1,903
and on Friday at 1,911. Low, higher low,
higher low in its current triangle consolidation.
The August 24 low
continues to look like a capitulation low and this week’s support levels
support that view.
VIX which closed at 40.74
on Aug 24, a level not seen since the Aug – Oct 2011 Euro crisis and
Japanese Yen devaluation. The high
VIX has kept the SPX in a volatile range the past two weeks. However this week’s 83 point range was
down from the 126 range last week. A
contracting trading range, a lower high and lower low on the weekly VIX chart
and the VIX close of 27.80, indicate that fear is contracting and a more
positive trading week may be ahead.
If you have been
thinking about positions in FIT, SHOP, AMBA or PYPL, they are near their
three-month lows on Friday.
(click image to enlarge)
(click image to enlarge)
Trade with the trend of
the chart you are trading and
continue to move your profit protection stops. Continue to follow your rules.
Short-term Chart Targets:
SPY =...199.13…
QQQ = 105.61…
IWM = 115.70…
Support Levels
SPY = 190.73, 188.37...
QQQ = 100.49, 99.29…
IWM = 111.60, 109.42...
The SPX Market Forecast is turned down at 29.
__________________
Setups
Horizontal Breakout: CCL, FSLR, LVS, NCLH, P, PYPL, RCL, SCTY, SUM,
TASR, UA, UBNT, BBY, AVGO, EA, MU, WBA,
Diagonal Breakout: QQQ,
IWM, ETSY, RPD, SEDG, SHOP, W, FB, MAR, SBUX, SWKS,
Bull Flag: RUN, ANGI, INTC,
Potential Bullish
Divergence: AMBA, FIT, GPRO, MBLY, YOKU,
JD, NFLX
Moves
New Highs: JCP
Bull Flag Bounce: VXX
______________________
Watch List Stocks
Leading stocks > +2% on Friday: VXX, IMGN
Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: FAS, GPRO, SINA, YOKU, BABA, QIHU, FIT,
SOHU, CTRP, PYPL, FSLR, SPLK, UNG, C, AIG, SCHW, TSL, SEDG, RPD
15 of 100
NDX stocks closed higher on Friday.
Leading NDX 100 stocks included: GMCR, DLTR, MU, MYL, EA, VIAB, PCLN, VRTX
Lagging NDX stocks included: JD, TRIP, YHOO, VIP, LRCX, XLNX, KLAC, STX,
EXPD, SNDK, NVDA, SWKS
NDX Stocks to Watch on Monday:
Moving Above 30 DMA = 1
ALTR
Moving Below 30 DMA = 9
AVGO, BRCM, CHRW, EXPD, LMCA, LVNTA,
NTAP, SRCL, WDC
6-month Intermediate
Term Market Trend: Down
3-day Short Term Market
Trend: Neutral
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