Friday, August 7, 2015

SPY, QQQ, IWM, DIA Form Hammer on Friday...SHAK it Up With a BF Bounce...

Three sectors moved higher on Friday…the strongest sectors were XLU, XLF and XLK…the weakest sector was XLE.  Oil moved lower at closed at 43.75, its lowest close since March 17.

Breadth strengthened as decliners led advancers 1.43 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.34 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Friday – strengthened, decliners led
Thursday – weakened, decliners led
Wednesday – strengthened, mixed
Tuesday – strengthened, decliners led
Monday – weakened, decliners led


SPY down .40 at 207.95 on 117.85 million shares
VIX down .38 at 13.39…
TNX down .59 at 21.75…
TLT up 1.61 at 124.34…
XLF up .05 at 25.20…

AAPL up .39 at 115.52 on 38.6 million shares
FB down .82 at 94.30 on 23.1 million shares

Technical Commentary:
QQQ -0.13%, SPY -0.19%, DIA -0.22%, IWM -0.67%.

SPY, QQQ, IWM and DIA all moved back to their multi-week support areas this week.  SPY, QQQ, DIA and IWM each formed a bullish hammer candle on Friday.

PCLN, VMC, CTRP, EXPE and WETF which had positive earnings reactions are now forming bull flag patterns.

SHAK +6.98, +10.79% bounced in a bull flag pattern on Friday.

Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.

Earnings week of Aug 10
VSLR, CYBR, CREE, FOGO, JASO, RAX, XONE, BABA, JUNO, JCP, SINA, VJET, YY, W, NTES

Q1 Earnings Reaction
Positive Reactions – CAR, CTRP, HLF, KBR, MGM, MNST, NUS, NVDA, PCLN, VMC, ZU, EXPE, CCE, MOH, YRCW, WAGE, COLM, RCL, WETF, TPX, WU, AEE, FE, PKI, TUC, AMGN, VLO, UHS, WDC, AEL, ALGT, EEFT, GILD, JBLU, SHOP, SKX, X, SSNC, BWLD, PODD, SVU, NUVA, SCTY, ULTI, WYNN, CTRP, FISV, SLCA, SPWR,  NCLH, AMZN, P, MXIM, JNPR, V, SBUX, LUV, QLIK, SNDK, TXN, UA, WHR, GM, VRSN, CHKP, FFIV, FTNT, LVS, PKG, TMO, TSCO, VMW, ACE, APH, OC, BA, CHKP, IPG, CLI, CMG, LVS, MANH, TRV, VMW, LAD, HOG, WWW, ZION, HAS, HAL, GOOG, HTZ, HON, GE, NFLX, SCHW, EBAY, C, USB, DAL, BAC, WFC, JPM, NKE, AA


More than 10% - FSLR, HLF, NUS, NVDA, ZU, EXPE, CCE, MOH, YRCW, WAGE, COLM, SHOP, SKX, X, SSYS, BWLD, SVU, P, FTNT, SNDK, GOOG, GOOGL, HTZ, NFLX 

Negative Reactions – AIG, ALL, AXTA, DIS, ETSY, GMCR, GOGO, HABT, NCLH, JD, SEDG, TSLA, UBNT, Z,  LNKD, FEYE, OCN, ESI, FB, MAR, SSYS, TWTR, YNDX, YELP, BIDU, BIIB, TRIP, STT, AAL, FSL, KLAC, MCD, UNP, SAVE, CELG, CA, CMCSA, ETFC, CAT, DOW, FCX, MMM, OSTK, IBM, KO, QCOM, AXP, AAPL, IBKR, ILMN, XLNX, VZ, BEAV, BHI, LLTC, MSFT, YHOO, EXAS, STI, UNH, MAT, KEY, YUM, FAST, CUDA, MU

More than -10% - ALL, ETSY, FIT, GMCR, HABT, SEDG, SUNE, LNKD, OCN, ESI, WFM, TWTR, YELP, BIDU, BIIB, TRIP, GIMO, SCSS, BEAV, SWI, CUDA, MU

Reversal in progress – LAD,

Reversal of Initial Reaction – HTZ, HON, GE, AA,

Short-term Chart Targets:
SPY = 211.45, 212.55...
QQQ = 113.17, 114.39
IWM = 123.71, 125.09…

Support Levels
SPY = 210.82, 206.80...
QQQ = 110.62, 109.78…
IWM = 121.01, 120.27...

The SPX Market Forecast is turned down at 52 defensive.

__________________


Setups
Horizontal Breakout: FSLR, HOG, LVS, X,
Diagonal Breakout: BAC, FAS, GPRO, JNPR, MBLY, NCLH, PYPL,
Bull Flag: AMBA, CCL, CTRP, DAL, EXPE, NKE, P, SCHW, SHOP, SOHU, SONC, SUM, SVXY, UA, V, VRSN,
Potential Bullish Divergence: BX, GME, SEDG, SPY
At Support: FIT, IWM, JD, PANW, QIHU, SCTY, SEDG, SPLK, SPWR, STI

Moves
New Highs: RCL, TPX,
H Breakout: TBT
Bull Flag Bounce: RCL, SHAK
Support Break: HPQ, IBM, TBT
______________________

Watch List Stocks
Leading stocks > +2% on Friday: SHAK, DEPO, SEDG, SWKS
                                                       
Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: ACAD, SUNE, SCTY, FIT, JCP, SHOP, CSIQ, SOHU, CTRP, KR

50 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Friday.

Leading NDX 100 stocks included: NVDA, FOX, VIAB, MNST, SWKS, WYNN, ISRG

Lagging NDX stocks included: STX, CERN, PCLN, BIIB, TRIP, NFLX, JD, AAL, KHC, ESRX, MU


NDX Stocks to Watch on Monday
Moving Above 30 DMA = 2
INTU, WYNN

Moving Below 30 DMA = 1
DISH

6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Neutral/Down

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