Friday, February 4, 2011

SPX, INDU, COMPQ, NDX and SOX New High Close...RUT and TRAN Lag...


The SPX formed a potential hanging man closing up +3.77 at 1,310.87, a new high close.

SPX white candle, new high close
INDU white candle, new high close
COMPQ white candle at horizontal resistance
RUT potential hanging man, did not confirm Thursday’s potential hanging man

Breadth weakened on Friday as decliners led advancers 1.01 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.06 to 1 on the NASDAQ …

Exchange       NYSE          NASDAQ
Advancers      1,488             1,282
Decliners        1,507              1,360

Index              Chg.     Close    Direction      Confirmation
VIX                 -0.76       15.93     Down             Yes – SPX
SOX              +9.45     463.11     Up                  Yes – COMPQ

Leading stocks > +2% on Friday included CIEN, CRUS, A, ARUN, GMCR, JNPR, RVBD, SOHU, GLW, NETL, SWKS, SINA, SKX, CMG, CRM, GME, GES, NVDA, TBT  

Losing stocks < -2.0% included CSTR, LVS, AIV, X, UCO, ESI, LCC, PCX, AKS, LDK, TSL

Positives – SOX, NDX, COMPQ, VIX, TNX, SPX, INDU, AAPL, NFLX

Negatives – breadth weakened, sectors weakened, Euro weakness

Interest rates rose on Friday and bond ETF TLT broke support down 91 cents.  The Euro moved down 57 pips to 1.3576 at 5 pm ET. 

Six of nine sectors moved higher on Friday with Consumer Discretionary XLY +0.69% and Technology XLK +0.64% leading all sectors. 

Earnings – continue to watch earnings releases this next week

Breakouts and Setups – SWKS, X, RIMM, JNPR, SINA, ADSK, ALTR, BMC, COST, CSCO, CTSH, DTV, EBAY, FAST, FFIV, KLAC, NWSA, PAYX, PCLN, ROST, SHLD, VOD, VRSN, AKS

SPX
Resistance: 1,311, 1,321
Support: 1,300, 1,281, 1,271

The short term 3 day trend is up.
The six-month trend is up.
The twelve-month trend is up.

Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading.

Bullish entry signal is a bounce off support and a break above the high of the low day or a break out of horizontal resistance.

Bearish entry signal is a break of short term support or a bounce down from the 30 DMA or other resistance.
 
AAPL +3.06white candle bull flag bounce
AMZN +2.22white candle, support bounce continuation, potential bear flag
NFLX +8.58large white candle, bull flag bounce, breakout, new high close
QCOM +0.25potential hanging man, new high close
GOOG +0.83spinning top at 30 DMA, potential bear flag
BIDU -0.82small bearish engulfing above gap support


NDX 100 stocks stronger than the NDX include SRCL, FFIV, BRCM, GRMN, NFLX, ALTR, CELG, NIHD, URBN, JOYG, WFMI, XLNX, VRSN, NVDA, AMAT, SHLD and LRCX.

Stocks weaker than the NDX include: LIFE, FISV, FSLR, MYL, CHKP, ORCL, WYNN and INFY.

Stocks to Watch on Monday
Holding Above 30 DMA

SINA, NDAQ, SMH, NVDA, FWLT, PCX, CLF, CRUS, HOLX, DE, FAS, GLW, JEC,  ACN, NYX, ATI, URE, DISH, BA, POT, SWN, TSL, DLR, HANS, HUM, LDK, NTES, CAM,  SLB, TIE, MA, SPG, STI, CAT, DOW, MOS, NETL, SOHU, SWKS, ATW, SWK, TBT, AKS, ICE, JNPR, PCP, X, AGU, AMD, BAC, CF, DHR, IPI, LXK, PNC, SKX, V, ZION, ARUN, CIEN, CMG, HSY, MCP, DECK, GMCR, TIF, UAL
Moving Above 30 DMA = 4
A, CRM, GES, RVBD
Moving Below 30 DMA = 4
AIV, ESI, LVS, SLW
Staying Below 30 DMA
WLT, UNP, UCO, UNG, SKX, WHR, F, FDX, MHS, SNDK, VECO, TLT, CHL, VMW, FCX, GS, HLF, CREE, GME, HAS, CSTR, MCD, FAZ

Added: CIEN, TIF

Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
Short Term Market Trend: Up



Making 2011 the best year ever!
Week 5 is done.  Just 47 weeks left to go as we move towards our objective to make 2011our best year ever.  How did you do?
                 
Again evaluate your trades for week 5.  Did you buy, hold and sell where you were supposed to according to your rules?

The big question for this week is did you re-enter according to your rules as Chart Signals guided you early in the week?  If so, you likely increased your profits and finished the week looking good.

Give yourself an A+ or 10 for each trade that you did follow your rules.

How is your portfolio doing YTD compared with the following indexes?  If you outperformed the SOX give yourself an A+, the INDU, NDX or SPX give yourself an A.
 
                        Week 5              YTD
SPX                 2.71%               4.23%
NDX                 2.98%               5.43%
SOX                5.59%             12.45%
INDU                2.27%              4.45%

Finally, take your annual goal that you sent in to Chart Signals and divide that goal by 52 weeks and multiply by 5.  How does your week 5 results compare to your goal?  If you are at the goal or higher give yourself and A+.

4 comments:

Anonymous said...

Dave:
Thanks again.
I will be evaluating my discipline, progress and trades this weekend.
Appreciate all you do.
Robert
CANI_212

Judy said...

Good evening DAVE! I tried to log in to the WSWU today, from my desk at work and was not able to log in as usual. I am listening now! Have a great weekend! Judy

Anonymous said...

David, enjoy reading the post and comments, taking guidance from your direction of your past experience.trader's want to know what other ones or doing.Knowing my investment plan my education lead me to want to be comfortable trading both equities and currency. This week I will grade my myself c+. keeping my portfolio heat at 1.7% on equities
an 2% on currency. neutral to bullish on equities, flexible in currency to trade both direction. trades are recorded both in my expectancy worksheet and my portfolio work sheet.To get a better grade this coming I shall be more prepared for bullish and bearish entries and have a direction of where the USD,Eur,GBP may go.MY weakness wanting to know to much, strenght being stubborn you mention in ATA thursday session some people will keep doing the same thing over and over again till they get fed up and give up.2011 my trades are recorded and i am going to evaluate my progress trade my account size and have a great year


RB damn gooding looking trader

Anonymous said...

Yup, very happy with my week & much thanks to you!
But I still need much support on exits...
Scott L of Nashville