Monday, August 5, 2013

IWM, FB, TSLA All-time High Close...Broad Markets Consolidate...AAPL Higher...NFLX Bounces...

Two sectors moved higher on Monday… XLK, XLP and XLV were the strongest sectors…XLU was the weakest sector.
 
Breadth weakened…decliners led advancers…1.42 to 1 on the NYSE and strengthened 1.33 to 1 on the NASDAQ where advancers led decliners…
 
Monday - mixed
Friday – mixed
Thursday – strengthened, advancers led
Wednesday – strengthened, advancers led
Tuesday – strengthened, advancers led
 
 
SPY down .25…volume 54 million shares
VIX down .14at 11.84…
TNX up .38 at 26.40…
TLT down .82 at 105.70...
XLF down .04 at 20.77…volume 21 million shares
 
AAPL up 6.91 at 469.45volume 11.3 million shares
FB up 1.14 at 39.19volume 79.9 million shares
 
Technical Commentary:
 
IWM + 0.34%, QQQ + 0.06%, DIA – 0.26%, SPY – 0.15%.
 
IWM small caps lead stocks higher.  AAPL, FB and PCLN lead NDX higher while BIDU, MSFT, AMZN, AMGN and GILD weigh down.
 
FB +1.14, +2.99% makes all-time high close at 39.19 on 79.994 million shares on $3.099 billion.  Big money continues to expand FB position.
 
NFLX +7.66, +3.11% bounces off support, channel resistance at 270.
 
TSLA +6.68, +4.84% another all-time high on 10.2 million shares on $1.448 billion.
 
 
Earnings announcements continue as the fifth week of earnings season begins on Monday.  Chart Signals is focusing on stocks with announcements and stocks that have had a positive earnings reactions over the past two weeks.
 
This Week Earnings of Interest
Tuesday – ADM, CAR, CHRW, DIS, DISH, EXPD, FSLR, FOSL, LINTA, LMCA, MGM, Z
Wednesday – AGU, BOFI, GMCR, GRPN, SCTY, SUNE, TSLA, TWX,
Thursday – AAP, FWLT, MCP, MNST, NVDA, RAX, SGMS, SSYS, TMUS,
Friday – JRCC
 
Q2 Earnings Reactions
Positive Reactions – EAT, VIAB, YOKU, AIG, CTRX, CHK, COP, LNKD, MELI, MYL, NUS, ZAGG, CMCSA, CTRP, GRMN, HES, MA, MCHP, SODA, YELP, QCOR, FISV, BWLD, MTW, VRTX, WYNN, SWK, SBUX, ALK, AMZN, CELG, CB, CLF, GILD, IP, MXIM, RCL, HSY, UA, UAL, V,   FB, BIDU, TRIP, COG, CTXS, ETFC, FFIV, AKAM, AAPL, EA, VMW, DAL, LCC, EMC, LLY, MCO, AKS, FCX, BTU, UTX, HAS, TXN, GE, HON, SLB, STI, WHR, CHKP, CMG, JCI, KEY, MS, OSTK, SWKS, UNP, UNH, BAC, IBM, SNDK, XLNX, CSX, GS, URI, YHOO, C, WFC
 
Negative Reactions – ANR, CVX, CME, XOM, K, DTV, RVBD, X, COH, DISCA, ESRX, SOHU, DLR, CERN, CRUS, DECK, DNKN, EXPE, KLAC, POT, PCP, SWI, TPX, EQIX, ABC, CROX, ANGI, ATI, CAT, WDC, PNRA, STX, NSC, USNA, TRV, MCD, MO, NFLX, ZION, BHI, AMD, GOOG, ISRG, MSFT, EBAY, INTC, MAT, SCSS, USB, AXP, KO, MOS
 
 
Chart Signals Strategy Guidelines
When the market is trending up Chart Signals looks for support bounce and resistance breakout entries. 
 
When the market is trending down Chart signals looks for resistance pull back and support break entries. 
 
When the market is sideways in consolidation Chart Signals will look for support bounce, diagonal breakouts and pull backs at resistance where price action stays between support and resistance. 
 
Technical setups for short-term option trades be in and out by earnings release.
Over earnings release use earnings option strategies such as straddles, strangles, OTM calls or puts.
After earnings look for bullish setups in positive reaction stocks and bearish setups in negative reaction stocks.
 
 
The Market Forecast Green Line and is in the upper zone. 
 
____________________
 
Setups
H Breakout: CTSH, MNST, MU, NUAN, NVDA, WFM, C, CIEN, CRM, FAS, GMCR, GRPN, JNPR, LVS, P, STI,
 
Diagonal Breakout: DTV, ESRX, INTC, NTAP, FSLR, GLD, SSYS, TLT, XONE, ZION
 
Bull Flag: AKAM, AMZN, ATVI, CELG, CMCSA, GILD, GRMN, ROST, SYMC, XLNX, BAC, CMG, DDD, NTES, RCL,
 
Potential Bullish Divergence:  
 
Gap Up: 
 
Gap Down: 
 
Bear Flag:   
 
At Support: VECO, WLT,   
 
 
Moves
New Highs: BBBY, COST, CSCO, FB, MYL, TSLA, SPLK, Z
 
Gap Up:  
 
Gap Down:    
 
H&D Breakout: AAPL, PCLN, WYNN, ESI, GS, MFRM, SCTY,
 
Breakout Test: 
 
Bounce: BBRY, NFLX,
 
MACD Divergence Bounce:  
 
Bear Flag:  
 
Support Break: 
 
______________________
 
 
42 of 100 Leading NDX stocks closed higher on Monday and one was unchanged.
 
 
Leading NDX 100 stocks included: MU, TSLA, EXPE, NFLX, FB, SBAC, PCLN, FISV, LINTA, WFM, AAPL, MYL, SPLS
 
Lagging NDX stocks included:  FOSL, BIDU, SHLD, EXPD, ATVI, FAST, KRFT, LMCA, SNDK, AMGN
 
Leading stocks > +2% on Tuesday included: ESI, BBRY, TSLA, HLF, TSL, GMCR, RVBD, NFLX, GRPN, CRUS, ANR, LDK, DECK, CLF
 
Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: YELP, UAL, JDSU
 
Stocks to Watch on Tuesday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 78
TSLA, SPLS, CSCO, AMZN, DLTR, ADBE, INTU, BBBY, MCHP, PCLN, SRCL, ALTR, CA, LINTA, ORLY, PCAR, ROST, VOD, VIAB, FB, LBTYA, KRFT, LMCA,CMCSA, HSIC, VRSK, ADP, ALXN, CHKP, CTSH, NTAP, SYMC, WFM, NFLX, BMC, CELG, ESRX, FISV, LLTA, XLNX, ADI, ATVI, CHRW, COST, CTXS, EXPD, GILD, LIFE, MYL, PAYX, XRAY, TXN, SIAL, AKAM, AMAT, GRMN, KLAC, YHOO, AMGN, REGN, ADSK, BIDU, FFIV, MDLZ, CTRX, GOLD, QCOM, AAPL, FAST, SBUX, MXIM, WYNN, SHLD, CERN, NVDA, BIIB, MNST, FOXA, GOOG, NUAN, DISCA, DELL
 
Moving Above 30 DMA = 1
MU
 
Moving Below 30 DMA = 2
FOSL, WDC

 
Staying Below 30 DMA
ADSK, DTV, SBAC, EXPE, VRTX, SNDK, EQIX, STX, AVGO, EBAY, MSFT, BRCM, MAT, ISRG, INTC
 
Four-Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
Short Term Market Trend: Up

Stock Futures Taking A Pause In Pre-Market...Slightly Lower...


BMO – ES – 2.75 and NQ – 2.50…futures are pointed lower in pre-market
SPY is down .39…  

XLF is down .31…
Euro is down 28 pips…
TLT is …down .57 

Follow your rules for entry and exit…adjust stops to protect profits at this time according to your rules... 

Quoting Up: GOLD, TSLA, PCLN, FB, CTXS, EXPE, AAPL, 

Quoting Down:  FOSL, FAST, QCOM, UCO, GMCR

 

 

Friday, August 2, 2013

SPX, DJIA All-time High...FB Closes Above 38...YELP, LNKD, VIAB, MYL Jump on EPS...TSLA All-time High...

Six sectors moved higher on Friday… XLY, XLB and XLK were the strongest sectors…XLE was the weakest sector.
 
Breadth was mixed…advancers led decliners…1.04 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.13 to 1 on the NASDAQ where decliners led advancers…
 
Friday – mixed
Thursday – strengthened, advancers led
Wednesday – strengthened, advancers led
Tuesday – strengthened, advancers led
Monday - weakened, decliners led
 
 
SPY up .29…volume 91.1 million shares
VIX down .96at 11.98…
TNX down 1.21 at 26.02…
TLT up 1.16 at 105.52...
XLF down .01 at 20.81…volume 31.4 million shares
 
AAPL up 5.86 at 462.54volume 9.8 million shares
FB up 1.50 at 38.05volume 73 million shares
 
Technical Commentary:
 
QQQ + 0.56%, DIA + 0.20%, SPY + 0.17%, IWM + 0.09%.
 
Stocks paused on Friday after a lower than expected Jobs Report and closed slightly higher by the end of the day.  Both the SPX and DJIA closed at all-time highs.  The NDX was its highest close since Nov 11, 2001.
 
The NDX which led the broad indexes was led by gains in AAPL, QCOM, VIAB, MSFT, BIIB, CSCO, FOXA, BIDU and FB.
 
FB 38.05, +1.50% had only its second close above $38 its IPO price.  FB on May 18, 2012, its first day of trading, closed at 38.23.  Dollar volume on Friday was $2.766 billion.  Big money continues to load up on FB since its earning release on July 25.
 
TSLA 138, +1.81% a new all-time high close.  EPS will be out Wednesday July 7.
 
 
Earnings announcements continue as the fifth week of earnings season begins on Monday.  Chart Signals is focusing on stocks with announcements and stocks that have had a positive earnings reactions over the past two weeks.
 
This Week Earnings of Interest
Monday – n/a
Tuesday – ADM, CAR, CHRW, DIS, DISH, EXPD, FSLR, FOSL, LINTA, LMCA, MGM, Z
Wednesday – AGU, BOFI, GMCR, GRPN, SCTY, SUNE, TSLA, TWX,
Thursday – AAP, FWLT, MCP, MNST, NVDA, RAX, SGMS, SSYS, TMUS,
Friday – JRCC
 
Q2 Earnings Reactions
Positive Reactions – EAT, VIAB, YOKU, AIG, CTRX, CHK, COP, LNKD, MELI, MYL, NUS, ZAGG, CMCSA, CTRP, GRMN, HES, MA, MCHP, SODA, YELP, QCOR, FISV, BWLD, MTW, VRTX, WYNN, SWK, SBUX, ALK, AMZN, CELG, CB, CLF, GILD, IP, MXIM, RCL, HSY, UA, UAL, V,   FB, BIDU, TRIP, COG, CTXS, ETFC, FFIV, AKAM, AAPL, EA, VMW, DAL, LCC, EMC, LLY, MCO, AKS, FCX, BTU, UTX, HAS, TXN, GE, HON, SLB, STI, WHR, CHKP, CMG, JCI, KEY, MS, OSTK, SWKS, UNP, UNH, BAC, IBM, SNDK, XLNX, CSX, GS, URI, YHOO, C, WFC
 
Negative Reactions – ANR, CVX, CME, XOM, K, DTV, RVBD, X, COH, DISCA, ESRX, SOHU, DLR, CERN, CRUS, DECK, DNKN, EXPE, KLAC, POT, PCP, SWI, TPX, EQIX, ABC, CROX, ANGI, ATI, CAT, WDC, PNRA, STX, NSC, USNA, TRV, MCD, MO, NFLX, ZION, BHI, AMD, GOOG, ISRG, MSFT, EBAY, INTC, MAT, SCSS, USB, AXP, KO, MOS
 
 
Chart Signals Strategy Guidelines
When the market is trending up Chart Signals looks for support bounce and resistance breakout entries. 
 
When the market is trending down Chart signals looks for resistance pull back and support break entries. 
 
When the market is sideways in consolidation Chart Signals will look for support bounce, diagonal breakouts and pull backs at resistance where price action stays between support and resistance. 
 
Technical setups for short-term option trades be in and out by earnings release.
Over earnings release use earnings option strategies such as straddles, strangles, OTM calls or puts.
After earnings look for bullish setups in positive reaction stocks and bearish setups in negative reaction stocks.
 
 
The Market Forecast Green Line and is in the upper zone. 
 
____________________
 
Setups
H Breakout: AAPL, AKAM, COST, CTSH, GILD, MNST, NTAP, NUAN, NVDA, PCLN, WYNN, ALK, C, CIEN, CRM, ESI, F, FAS, GMCR, GS, LVS, SCTY, STI, UAL,
 
Diagonal Breakout: MU, MFRM, SSYS, TLT, XONE, ZION,
 
Bull Flag: ATVI, GRMN, CNX, DDD, GRPN,
 
Potential Bullish Divergence:   
 
Gap Up: 
 
Gap Down: 
 
Bear Flag:   
 
At Support:  BRCM, VECO, WLT,
 
 
Moves
New Highs: BIDU, SBUX, SINA, SPLK, SPY, TIF, TSLA, YELP, Z
 
Gap Up: DELL, MYL, LNKD,
 
Gap Down: ANR,   
 
H&D Breakout: BBBY, CSCO, QCOM, TSLA, DNKN,
 
Breakout Test: 
 
Bounce: ADSK,
 
MACD Divergence Bounce:  
 
Bear Flag:  
 
Support Break: 
 
______________________
 
 
51 of 100 Leading NDX stocks closed higher on Friday and one was unchanged.
 
 
Leading NDX 100 stocks included: MYL, VIAB, DELL, BIDU, BIIB, FOXA, LMCA, QCOM, ADSK, CTRX, EXPE, CHKP
 
Lagging NDX stocks included:  GOLD, BRCM, LBTYA, CHRW, REGN, WDC, AKAM, STX, VRTX, XLNX, SBAC
 
Leading stocks > +2% on Friday included: YELP, LNKD, CLF, ZAGG, SINA, V, ESI
 
Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: ANR, LDK, SOHU, HLF, TBT, MOS, VECO
 
Stocks to Watch on Monday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 79
TSLA, SPLS, CSCO, AMZN, DLTR, ADBE, INTU, BBBY, MCHP, PCLN, SRCL, ALTR, CA, LINTA, ORLY, PCAR, ROST, VOD, VIAB, FB, LBTYA, KRFT, LMCA,CMCSA, HSIC, VRSK, ADP, ALXN, CHKP, CTSH, FOSL, NTAP, SYMC, WFM, NFLX, BMC, CELG, ESRX, FISV, LLTA, XLNX, ADI, ATVI, CHRW, COST, CTXS, EXPD, GILD, LIFE, MYL, PAYX, XRAY, TXN, SIAL, AKAM, AMAT, GRMN, KLAC, YHOO, AMGN, REGN, ADSK, BIDU, FFIV, MDLZ, CTRX, GOLD, QCOM, AAPL, FAST, SBUX, MXIM, WYNN, SHLD, CERN, NVDA, BIIB, MNST, FOXA, GOOG, NUAN, DISCA, WDC,
 
Moving Above 30 DMA = 5
DELL
 
Moving Below 30 DMA = 2
MU
 
 
Staying Below 30 DMA
ADSK, DTV, SBAC, EXPE, VRTX, SNDK, EQIX, STX, AVGO, EBAY, MSFT, BRCM, MAT, ISRG, INTC
 
Four-Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
Short Term Market Trend: Up

Pre-Market Stock Futures Slightly Down After Jobs Report...LNKD Up 9.36% After Posting Earnings...


BMO – ES – 1.00 and NQ +8.50futures are up in pre-market and point to a mixed open
SPY is down .39…  

XLF is up .32…
Euro is up 53 pips…
TLT is …up .93… 

Follow your rules for entry and exit…adjust stops to protect profits at this time according to your rules... 

Quoting Up: VIAB, DELL, MYL, PCLN, FB, REGN, LNKD, TLT, V 

Quoting Down:  ATVI, TSLA, ANR, TBT, GMCR,

Thursday, August 1, 2013

SPY, QQQ, DIA, & IWM All Make New Highs...YELP Up After Earnings 23.21%...Z Up Also After Earnings Report 14.82%...LNKD Up In After Hours Trading 15.80%...


All nine sectors moved higher on Thursday… XLI, XLE and XLF were the strongest sectors…XLV was the weakest sector.  

Breadth strengthened…advancers led decliners…1.64 to 1 on the NYSE and 2.60 to 1 on the NASDAQ… 

Thursday – strengthened, advancers led
Wednesday – strengthened, advancers led
Tuesday – strengthened, advancers led
Monday - weakened, decliners led
Friday – weakened, decliners led 

SPY up 1.95…volume 142.3 million shares
VIX down .51at 12.94…
TNX up 1.30 at 27.23…
TLT down 2.07 at 105.36...
XLF up .32 at 20.82…volume 34 million shares 

AAPL up 4.15 at 456.68volume 7.3 million shares
FB up .69 at 37.49volume 105.9 million shares 

Technical Commentary:
IWM + 1.37%, SPY + 1.16%, QQQ + 1.02%, DIA + 0.68%.  

QQQ, SPY, DIA, and IWM, all made new highs on Thursday.  LNKD reported earnings today and closed up 9.21 or 4.52.  In after hours trading LNKD is up an additional 15.70 or 7.37%. 

AIG is up 2.42 or 5.14% in after hours trading after reporting earnings. Z closed Thursday up 10.95 or 14.82% after gapping up in the morning.  YELP also reported earnings and closed up 9.70 or 12.21%.  In after hours trading YELP is up an additional .95 or 1.84%. 

CTRX gapped up on Thursday and broke horizontal resistance of mid-June.  CTRX is approaching a second horizontal resistance of early May 2013.  It closed up 4.23 or 8.01%. 

Earnings announcements continue as the fourth week of earnings season begins on Monday.  Chart Signals is focusing on stocks with announcements and stocks that have had a positive earnings reactions over the past two weeks.  

This Week Earnings of Interest
Monday – ESRX, MTW, SOHU, VECO, VRTX, WYNN
Tuesday – DDD, AET, AMGN, ACI, BWLD, COH, GLW, DISCA, FISV, MDC, NYX, QCOR, RVBD, X
Wednesday – CMCSA, CTRP, GRMN, HES, HUM, LRCX, MA, MCHP, SODA, WFM, YELP
Thursday – ATVI, AIG, APA, ADP, BZH, CME, CTRX, CHK, COP, XRAY, XOM, K, KRFT, LNKD, MELI, MYL, NUS, ZAGG, DTV
Friday – ANR, EAT, CBOE, CVX, VIAB, YOKU 

Q2 Earnings Reactions
Positive Reactions – QCOR, FISV, BWLD, MTW, VRTX, WYNN, SWK, SBUX, ALK, AMZN, CELG, CB, CLF, GILD, IP, MXIM, RCL, HSY, UA, UAL, V,   FB, BIDU, TRIP, COG, CTXS, ETFC, FFIV, AKAM, AAPL, EA, VMW, DAL, LCC, EMC, LLY, MCO, AKS, FCX, BTU, UTX, HAS, TXN, GE, HON, SLB, STI, WHR, CHKP, CMG, JCI, KEY, MS, OSTK, SWKS, UNP, UNH, BAC, IBM, SNDK, XLNX, CSX, GS, URI, YHOO, C, WFC 

Negative Reactions – RVBD, X, COH, DISCA, ESRX, SOHU, DLR, CERN, CRUS, DECK, DNKN, EXPE, KLAC, POT, PCP, SWI, TPX, EQIX, ABC, CROX, ANGI, ATI, CAT, WDC, PNRA, STX, NSC, USNA, TRV, MCD, MO, NFLX, ZION, BHI, AMD, GOOG, ISRG, MSFT, EBAY, INTC, MAT, SCSS, USB, AXP, KO, MOS 

Chart Signals Strategy Guidelines
When the market is trending up Chart Signals looks for support bounce and resistance breakout entries.   

When the market is trending down Chart signals looks for resistance pull back and support break entries.   

When the market is sideways in consolidation Chart Signals will look for support bounce, diagonal breakouts and pull backs at resistance where price action stays between support and resistance.  

Technical setups for short-term option trades be in and out by earnings release.

Over earnings release use earnings option strategies such as straddles, strangles, OTM calls or puts.

After earnings look for bullish setups in positive reaction stocks and bearish setups in negative reaction stocks. 

The Market Forecast Green Line and is in the upper zone.   

____________________ 

Setups
H Breakout: AAPL, AKAM, AMAT, BBBY, BIDU, COST, CSCO, CTSH, FFIV, NTAP, NUAN, NVDA, QCOM, SBUX, SIRI, TXN, WYNN, ALK, ATI, BAC, C, CIEN, CRM, F, FSLR, GMCR, GS, JNPR, LVS, SPLK, SPY, STI, UAL,  

Diagonal Breakout: GOOG, INTC, MNST, MU, PCLN, MFRM, SSYS, TPX,  

Bull Flag: GILD, DDD, ESI, RAX,  

Potential Bullish Divergence:    

Gap Up:   

Gap Down:   

Bear Flag:  

At Support: DTV, WFM,  

Moves
New Highs: CELG, MYL, TSLA, CMG, CREE, GME, KKD, LNKD, RCL, TIF,  

Gap Up: SNDK, SINA, YELP, Z  

Gap Down:  

H&D Breakout: CMCSA, SHLD, PWRD, TBT,  

Breakout Test:   

Bounce: AMZN, NFLX, DNKN, FAS, SOHU, SWI,  

MACD Divergence Bounce:   

Bear Flag:   

Support Break: TLT, 

______________________
 

89 of 100 Leading NDX stocks closed higher on Thursday. 

Leading NDX 100 stocks included: CTRX, SNDK, MCHP, FOSL, EXPD, PCLN, WYNN, WDC, XBUX, REGN, DISCA, ALTR, KLAC, AYX, HSIC, MU, ROST, MNST, FOXA

Lagging NDX stocks included:  ADSK, GOLD, DTV,  

Leading stocks > +2% on Thursday included: YELP, SINA, SWI, DECK, UCO, NKE, ZAGG, FAS, LNKD, CREE, TBT, ANR, CRM, RCL 

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: FAZ, MCP 

Stocks to Watch on Friday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 75
TSLA, SPLS, CSCO, AMZN, DLTR, ADBE, INTU, BBBY, MCHP, PCLN, SRCL, ALTR, CA, LINTA, ORLY, PCAR, ROST, VOD, VIAB, FB, LBTYA, KRFT, LMCA,CMCSA, HSIC, VRSK, ADP, ALXN, CHKP, CTSH, FOSL, NTAP, SYMC, WFM, NFLX, BMC, CELG, ESRX, FISV, LLTA, XLNX, ADI, ATVI, CHRW, COST, CTXS, EXPD, GILD, LIFE, MYL, PAYX, XRAY, TXN, SIAL, AKAM, AMAT, GRMN, KLAC, YHOO, AMGN, REGN, ADSK, BIDU, FFIV, MDLZ, CTRX, GOLD, QCOM, AAPL, FAST, SBUX, MXIM, WYNN, SHLD, CERN, NVDA, BIIB, MNST, FOXA 

Moving Above 30 DMA = 5
GOOG, MU, NUAN, DISCA, WDC 

Moving Below 30 DMA = 2
ADSK, DTV 

Staying Below 30 DMA
SBAC, EXPE, VRTX, SNDK, EQIX, STX, AVGO, EBAY, MSFT, BRCM, MAT, DELL, ISRG, INTC
 

Four-Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
Short Term Market Trend: Up 

 

Stock Futures In Pre-Market Rise Again After Fed Comments...YELP Up 14.38%...JCP Up 6.92%... SNDK Up 4.95%...


BMO – ES + 11.75 and NQ + 21.75…futures are up in pre-market and point to a higher open
SPY is up 1.10…

XLF is up .14…
Euro is down 61 pips…
TLT is …down 1.19… 

Follow your rules for entry and exit…adjust stops to protect profits at this time according to your rules... 

Quoting Up: SNDK, DELL, REGN, WYNN, CELG, CMCSA, TSLA, YELP, UCO, V, FCX, MOS, FAS, SINA, SSYS, CIEN 

Quoting Down:  DTV, ADP, WFM, ADSK, FAZ, TLT