Thursday, December 3, 2020

NDX Inches to a New All-time High as RUT, DJI Gain and SPX Pauses...PFE Supply Chain News Fuels a Modest Pullback...

© 2020 

A late pullback was correlated with an announcement from PFE that scaling up its raw material supply chain for its Covid-19 vaccine took longer than expected and it would ship half of the doses it had planned for this year. 
 
This is for practical purposes a non-issue as only about 50 million doses were originally planned to deliver in 2020 on a planet with more than 7.7 billion people.  That’s less than .7 of 1% of the population.  More than 99% of the world’s population was not receiving a vaccine dose in 2020 and that’s still the case.
 
Perhaps more significant is the fact that the S&P futures only sold off about 20 points on the news and then recovered half of that in the next several minutes by the close.  Net change about 10 points, a modest fluctuation.  Doesn’t seem that institutions perceived a need to significantly reprice the market on the news.
 
 
NDX +10.72, +0.09%, and for the third day in a row made a new all-time closing high
 
SPX -2.29, -0.06%, closed at 3,666, pausing on Thursday after making a new all-time closing high on Tuesday and Wednesday. 
 
Six of eleven sectors were higher on Thursday, led by XLE, XLRE and XLY. 
 
Energy leaders: APA, HES, BKR, PXD
Real Estate leaders: SLG, CBRE, SPG, EQR
Consumer Discretionary leaders: RL, NCLH, CCL, MHK
 
SPY up 0.77 at 366.79 on 45.9 million shares, below average volume, up on lower volume.
VIX up 0.40 at 21.17
 
WBA, BA, INTC, KO led the DJIA, 17 advancers, -5
RCL, NCLH, AAL, CCL led the SPX, 286 advancers
MRNA, TCOM, DOCU, SNPS led the NDX, 58 advancers
 
The two-year trend term is up.  The one-year trend is up.
 
Up: IWM, DIA, QQQ,
Down: SPY,
 
Advancers strengthened on Thursday as advancers led 2,033 to 1,084 on the NYSE and led 2,178 to 1,432 on the NASDAQ
 
The SPY MFC green line is pointed up at 96.7 and is bullish.  Price action is a pause in its breakout continuation trend.
 
Uptrend sectors XLU, XLB, XLI, XLY, XLP, XLV, XLF, XLC, XLK, XLE,
Neutral sectors:  XLRE,
Down trend sectors:
 
The 6-month intermediate trend is up.  The ten-day trend is up.
 
3-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-day Short Term Market TrendUp
 
58 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Thursday.
 
86 NDX stocks are above their 30 DMA:   IDXX, QCOM, ADP, XLNX, SIRI, ALGN, GOOGL, PDD, EXPE, NXPI, PAYX, CSX, KLAC, LRCX, TXN, ADI, AMAT, CTSH, FAST, MAR, MCHP, MU, MXIM, SBUX, WBA, ASML, BKNG, CTAS, FISV, INTU, MNST, TCOM, TMUS, MRNA, WDC, CMCSA, ROST, ULTA, CHTR, CSCO, MDLZ, PEP, AVGO, COST, MELI, LBTYA, ADSK, KHC, AMD, FOXA, LULU, TSLA, DLTR, TTWO, CERN, BMRN, PYPL, FB, MSFT, AMZN, EBAY, VRTX, AAPL, ADBE, ANSS, ATVI, BIDU, CDNS, CTXS, EA, GILD, ILMN, INTC, ISRG, SNPS, VRSN, WDAY, NFLX, NVDA, SWKS, AMGN, DOCU, CHKP, DXCM, JD, SGEN,
 
NDX Stocks to Watch on Friday:
Moving Above 30 DMA = 4
CHKP, DXCM, JD, SGEN,
 
Moving Below 30 DMA = 3
ALXN, SPLK, VRSK,
 
 
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2 comments:

John Z - aka Stockturner said...

Thanks for continuing to share your wisdom

John Z

Mirna said...

Hello Dave. Are you seeing a lot of divergence between price (High and higher) and MACD (Lower and lower) in various indexes and sectors?