Thursday, April 23, 2020

SPX Rally Undercut after a Report of a Clinical Trial of GILD Remdesivir...



© 2020


News services reported today that the WHO inadvertently released draft documents on a Chinese clinical trial of remdesivir that was terminated early due to low enrollment.  The WHO in existence since 1948, with 7,000 people in 150 plus offices worldwide.  Inadvertent?  Accidental?  With this many years of experience and this large of an organization, does anyone know of any other instances of inadvertent or accidental posting of draft documents on clinical trials during a pandemic?


At 12:44 pm ET the SPX was at 2,835 when news a Financial Times article, citing WHO documents, suggesting a Chinese trial of GILD’s remdesivir was not effective drove GILD stock down $6.73 or -8.11% in three minutes.  In that same three minutes the SPX fell 38 points to 2,797.  While that low became support for the day, the SPX which had been up 45 points had lost its momentum and closed down -1.51 pointsGILD was -3.53, -4.34% for the day.

GILD response indicated results were inconclusive and the trial was terminated early due to low enrollment.

After the close INTC -3.54, -6.00%, fell on a negative EPS reaction, while the industry ETF SMH was down -2.05, -1.59%.


Five of eleven sectors were higher on Thursday, led by XLE, XLI and XLC

SPY down .02 at 279.08 on 104.7 million shares, below average volume, unchanged on higher volume.
VIX down .60 at 41.38

XOM, UNH, CVX led the DJIA, 15 advancers, -13
LVS, APA, ODFL, ADS led the SPX, 268 advancers
SIRI, NTAP, EXPE, TCOM led the NDX, 42 advancers

The two-year trend term is up.
A new uptrend has emerged following a higher low W pattern reversal. 3-day short term trend is a bull flag bounce and is down.

Up: IWM, DIA,
Down: SPY, QQQ,

Breadth weakened on Thursday as advancers led 1,818 to 1,134 on the NYSE and led 1,935 to 1,301 on the NASDAQ

The SPX MFC green line is pointed up at 81 and is a short-term bullish.


Uptrend sectors XLV, XLP, XLK, XLY, XLB, XLC,
Neutral sectors:  XLU, XLRE, XLI, XLF, XLE,
Down trend sectors:

The 6-month intermediate trend is down.  The ten-day trend is up.

3-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Down
3-day Short Term Market TrendDown

42 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Thursday.

92 NDX stocks are above their 30 DMA:  CTXS, SGEN, AMZN, CDNS, NFLX, REGN, TTWO, VRTX, ALXN, NTES, INCY, AMGN, ATVI, CHKP, CSCO, EA, ILMN, INTC, KHC, VRSN, XLNX, AMD, ANSS, AVGO, CHTR, COST, CSX, IDXX, ISRG, JD, KLAC, LULU, MDLZ, MSFT, MXIM, NVDA, ORLY, PCAR, PEP, SNPS, SWKS, TMUS, TXN, ADI, FB, LRCX, QCOM, SBUX, WLTW, AAPL, ADP, ADSK, AMAT, CDW, CERN, CTSH, EBAY, FAST, FOXA, GOOGL, INTU, LBTYA, MCHP, MELI, MNST, PYPL, ROST, SPLK, ULTA, WDAY, XEL, ADBE, ALGN, TSLA, BMRN, GILD, BIDU, VRSK, PAYX, MAR, BKNG, CTAS, EXC, EXPE, FISV, MU, NXPI, CMCSA, CPRT, NTAP, SIRI, TCOM,


NDX Stocks to Watch on Friday:
Moving Above 30 DMA = 5
CMCSA, CPRT, NTAP, SIRI, TCOM,

Moving Below 30 DMA = 2
DLTR, WDC,


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