Monday, December 2, 2019

SPX Falls After ISM Mfg Index Report...VIX Jumps...Counter-trend Defensive...



© 2019


The ISM Mfg Index came in this morning at 48.1, below the consensus estimate of 49.4 and  below the November report of 48.3.  The SPX fell 27 points in reaction. This was a similar reaction to the SPX drop of 36 points after a lower than expected ISM Mfg Index report on October 1.

DJIA closed down 268 at 27,783 led by weakness in BA, GS, UTX, AAPL and HD.  Closing below 28,000 after closing above for four days last week.

One of eleven sectors was higher on Monday, led by XLP and XLE.

SPY down 2.67 at 311.64 on 75.7 million shares, above average volume.  Down on higher volume.
VIX up 2.29 at 14.91
Oil up .57 at 55.99
TLT down 2.11 at 138.31 on 17.7 million shares
GLD down .07 at 137.79


KO, PG, XOM led the DJIA, 6 advancers
XEC, EIX, MRO led the SPX, 95 advancers
TSLA, KHC, ULTA, ORLY led the NDX, 12 advancers

Long term up trend intact.  3-day short term trend is down.

Up:
Down: DIA, SPY, QQQ, IWM,                        

Breadth weakened on Monday as decliners led 2,142 to 818 on the NYSE and led 2,272 to 894on the NASDAQ

The SPX MFC green line is above 80, but turned down at 94 and is counter-trend defensive

Uptrend sectors XLK, XLV, XLC, XLP, XLF, XLI, XLB,
Neutral sectors:  XLY, XLE, XLU, XLRE,
Down trend sectors:

The 6-month intermediate trend is up.  The ten-day trend is sideways.

3-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-day Short Term Market Trenddown

12 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Monday.

64 NDX stocks are above their 30 DMA:  AAPL, CTXS, ALGN, CELG, CHTR, NVDA, SWKS, TSLA, INTC, ISRG, ORLY, AMGN, REGN, FAST, NTES, PCAR, SIRI, AMD, INCY, VRTX, ISRG, NTAP, WBA, FOXA, BIIB, ALXN, FB, MAR, AMAT, AVGO, BMRN, MSFT, NFLX, CHKP, NXPI, HSIC, ADBE, ADSK, CTSH, BIDU, CDNS, EA, FISV, LULU, ADP, MNST, WLTW, PAYX, WDAY, MELI, CERN, ILMN, GILD, ADI, AMZN, PYPL, ROST, SBUX, HAS, MDLZ, MYL, PEP, VRSK, KHC, 

NDX Stocks to Watch on Tuesday:
Moving Above 30 DMA = 0


Moving Below 30 DMA = 13
ASML, ATVI, GOOGL, JD, MCHP, MU, SNPS, TCOM, TTWO, TXN, UAL, VRSN, WYNN,

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