Tuesday, June 25, 2019

SPY Breaks Support after Powell Comments & Consumer Confidence Misses Consensus...


© 2019


The DJIA, closed down 179 points at 26,548led by weakness in BA, MSFT, AAPL, V and UNH.  Closing above 26,000 above for the twelfth straight day. 

One of eleven sectors was higher on Tuesday, led by materials XLB +0.05% and staples XLP -0.05%.  

SPY down 2.88 at 290.76 on 81.8 million shares, 13% above average volume. Down on higher volume.
VIX up 1.02 at 16.28
Oil up 1.02 at 58.77
TLT up .41 at 132.82 on 9.6 million shares. 

WBA +1.92%, MCD +0.88%, led the DJIA, 6 advancers, -13
AGN +25.36%, HCA +3.12% and MOS +3.12%, led the SPX.
MYL +3.84%, BIIB +1.86%, INCY +0.79% and SBUX +0.72% led the NDX.


Long term up trend intact.  3-day short term trend is down.

Up:
Down: IWM, DIA, SPY, QQQ,

Breadth weakened on Tuesday, as decliners led 1,902 to 965 on the NYSE and led 1,947 to 1,130 on the NASDAQ

The SPY MFC green line turned down in the upper zone at 92 and is short-term counter-trend defensive

Uptrend sectorsXLP, XLRE, XLU, XLY, XLK, XLB, XLI, XLC, XLV,
Neutral sectors:  XLF, XLE,
Down trend sectors:

The 6-month intermediate trend is up.  The ten-day trend is up.

3-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-day Short Term Market TrendDown


15 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Tuesday.

81 NDX stocks are above their 30 DMA:  PEP, CERN, CTAS, CHTR, IDXX, XRAY, TTWO, MELI, ORLY, MDLZ, WLTW, AMGN, COST, HAS, HSIC, ILMN, SBUX, VRSK, VRSN, ADP, CSCO, EXPE, FISV, INTU, PCAR, PYPL, SNPS, LBTYA, MSFT, MXIM, ROST, BKNG, CTSH, EBAY, GILD, ISRG, MAR, AAPL, ADI, AMZN, CDNS, DLTR, INTC, WBA, ULTA, CTXS, UAL, AAL, ATVI, LULU, SIRI, CMCSA, FB, TSLA, VRTX, ADBE, BIIB, INCY, SYMC, AMAT, ASML, AVGO, FAST, JD, KLAC, MCHP, NFLX, NVDA, NXPI, SWKS, TXN, WYNN, XLNX, ALXN, KHC, REGN, MNST, QCOM, EA, WDC, MYL,

NDX Stocks to Watch on Wednesday:
Moving Above 30 DMA = 1
MYL,  

Moving Below 30 DMA = 8
ADSK, AMD, BMRN, CSX, CTRP, GOOGL, NTES, WDAY,

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4 comments:

shortstar said...

I was taught that if the MFC green line is Above 80 in the upper zone = bullish. I'm confused if it is short term defensive at 92. Thanks for the helpful blog.

Scott Avery said...

shortstar.....I actually had a similar question. Not sure what the answer is myself.

Dave Johnson said...

shortstar, I used the term counter-trend defensive. The intermediate and long term trends are still up, or bullish. A bull flag is a counter trend pullback in an intermediate term up trend. Theoretically moving stops up to protect profits is defensive. Should a trader defend their profits or let them run away? Each trader should decide how much profit they are willing to give back and how much they want to keep. Counter trend suggests we do expect the intermediate term trend to continue, but right now price is pulling back counter to that intermediate term up (or bullish) trend. I hope that helps. Dave

shortstar said...

Definitely helps Dave. Thanks much!