Friday, March 1, 2019

SPY, QQQ, IWM Bull Flag Bounce on Friday...Ten-week Uptrend Continues...



© 2019

SPY, IWM, QQQ, DIA Rally Week 10…
                  (click image to enlarge)


Bull Flag Bounce Trigger on Friday:  SPY, QQQ, IWM, SMH, ALGN, ASML, MU, MXIM, NXPI, PEP, SBUX, TXN, WDC,

Bull Flag Setups:  DIA, AMD, AVGO, INTC, JBHT, KLAC, LRCX, MAR, PCAR, TMUS, WYNN


The DJIA, closed up 110 points at 26,026above 26,000 after being below for two days, led by strength in UNH, CVX, AAPL, JNJ and NKE. 

Eight of eleven sectors were higher on Friday, led by energy XLE +0.58% and healthcare XLV +1.42%.

SPY up 1.74 at 280.42 on 78.8 million shares, average volume. Up on higher volume.
VIX down 1.21 at 13.57
Oil down 1.50 at 55.75
TLT down 1.36 at 118.66 on 13.5 million shares. 

CVX +2.05%, NKE +1.93%, led the DJIA, 26 advancers, +12
GPS +16.18%, SWN +7.57% and MAS +6.50%, led the SPX.
XRAY +17.65%, MYL +4.02%, JD +3.68%, and HAS +3.67% led the NDX.

Long term up trend intact.  3-day short term trend is up.

Up: IWM, QQQ, SPY, DIA,
Down:


Breadth strengthened on Friday, as advancers led 1,868 to 1,010 on the NYSE and led 1,975 to 1,072 on the NASDAQ

The SPY MFC green line is in the upper zone at 92 and is short-term bullish.

Uptrend sectorsXLRE, XLC, XLI, XLU, XLB,
Neutral sectors:  XLK, XLY, XLV, XLP, XLF, XLE,
Down trend sectors:

The 6-month intermediate trend is down.  The ten-day trend is up.

3-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Sideways
3-day Short Term Market TrendUp


77 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Friday.

83 NDX stocks are above their 30 DMA:  REGN, WDAY, ROST, LULU, INCY, NFLX, CDNS, CTRP, EBAY, FB, PCAR, PYPL, TMUS, WYNN, XLNX, CTAS, MELI, TXN, ULTA, VRSN, ADBE, ADSK, INTU, MCHP, ADI, AVGO, ISRG, KLAC, LRCX, NXPI, SNPS, FAST, MDLZ, MNST, PAYX, SWKS, WLTW, CSX, ALXN, CTSH, GOOGL, IDXX, NTAP, VRSK, ALGN, ADP, CHKP, CSCO, FISV, MU, SBUX, ASML, FOXA, LBTYA, CERN, CMCSA, JD, MAR, SYMC, WDC, AAPL, AMD, ORLY, PEP, CHTR, NVDA, INTC, MSFT, EA, COST, HSIC, ILMN, QCOM, CTXS, VRTX, MXIM, SIRI, AMGN, AMZN, BIIB, BMRN, EXPE, XRAY 

NDX Stocks to Watch on Monday:
Moving Above 30 DMA = 6
AMGN, AMZN, BIIB, BMRN, EXPE, XRAY 

Moving Below 30 DMA = 4
AAL, JBHT, TSLA, UAL,
 

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2 comments:

shortstar said...

Thanks for the informative blog Dave. I noticed the SPY monthly MFC green line just turned bullish after 2 months of defensive indications.

Dave Johnson said...

shortstar...All oscillators are lagging indicators and the MFC GL is no exception. As soon as January monthly candle bounced the oscillator lacks forecasting insight. The MFC GL slipped below 80 at the end of January but since price went up, the sub 80 reading is irrelevant. The trader should go with the price action and ignore the oscillator in this specific context.
Also since the March monthly reading is one day old and still live, it can change and turn back down before the end of the month also neutralizes its effectiveness. An indicator needs to be closed to be a reliable reading...Dave