Wednesday, February 17, 2016

Oil Gallops...QQQ, DIA, SPY, IWM Move Higher Three White Soldiers Candle...FOSL, GRMN, PCLN Soar on EPS...

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Eight of nine sectors moved higher on WednesdayXLE, XLY and XLK were the strongest sectors while XLU was the weakest sector.  Oil rose 2.31 to close at 31.43
                         
Breadth was mixed as advancers led decliners 4.34 to 1 on the NYSE and  2.56 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Wednesday – mixed, advancers led
Tuesday – strengthened, advancers led
Monday – Washington’s Birthday Holiday
Friday – strengthened, advancers led
Thursday- weakened, decliners led


SPY up 3.10 at 192.88 on 136.0 million shares, 21% below average volume
VIX down 1.80 at 22.31…
TNX up .41 at 18.19…
TLT down .80 at 129.31…on 13.1 million shares, 20% above average volume
XLF up .28 at 21.10…on 64.8 million shares, 14% below average volume

AAPL up 1.48 at 98.12 on 44.8 million shares, 22% below average volume
FB up 3.59 at 105.20 on 44.0 million shares, 1% below average volume

Technical Commentary:
QQQ +2.26%, DIA +1.68%, SPY +1.63%, IWM +1.57%.

QQQ, DIA, SPY and IWM each rose for the third straight day on Wednesday forming a Three White Soldiers candle pattern.

Eight sectors rose, TLT bonds fell and TNX interest rates rose.

FOSL +28.55%, GRMN +16.55% and PCLN +11.24% soared on a better than expected earnings to lead the SPX.  Other SPX leaders included CNX, FCX, SWN, KMI, HP, PXD, DO, MOS, MYL, FTI, MUR, APA, ES, NFLX, COG, CRM, CBG, THC, NBL, LNC, MU, HPE, RIG, CTXS, EXPE, NRG, MAT and HAR.

The NDX +2.31% and QQQ +2.26% were led by point gainers MSFT, FB, PCLN, AMZN, GOOG, INTC, CSCO, AMGN, QCOM, BIIB, BIDU, TSLA, ADBE, AAPL, ALXN, MDLZ, TXN, FOXA, AVGO and MYL.  An impressive 96 NDX stocks rose while forty-seven of those gained 2.50% or more.

Twenty-eight of 30 Dow stocks rose on Wednesday led by gains in CVX, BA, CAT, DD, DIS, IBM, UNH, UTX, MSFT, CSCO and INTC.

Stocks below support should generally be traded bearishly until a reversal pattern forms.


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Horizontal Breakouts occurred on Wednesday in AAPL, AAL, CHKP, CAT, DD, MMM, AAL, DAL, UAL, CTRP, LLTC, TRIP, KMI, HP, MYL, NFLX, GOOG, CRM, EXPE,

Horizontal Breakout Setups include: UA, BBY, FAST, FISV, JNJ, LUV, AKAM, ALXN, BBBY, BIDU, CELG, COST, EA, JD, MXIM, DO, MOS, FTI, AMZN, FB, CTXS, MU, SOXL,


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 YTD:
SPX Leaders:  NEM, KORS, SWN, SE, FOSL, ADT, EQT, CTL, M, MAT (164, +35)
SPX Losers: CHK, ESV, MRO, WMB, DVN, MPC, URI, TSO, ADS, VRTX

NDX Leaders:  MAT, PCAR, FAST, FISV, DLTR, XLNX, HSIC, DISCK, LLTC, ROST, (22, +10)
NDX Losers:  INCY, VRTX, TSLA, WDC, NCLH, REGN, BMRN, ATVI, ADSK, TRIP

DJI Leaders:  VZ, WMT, XOM, MMM, PG, KO, UNH, MCD
DJI Losers: AXP, BA, GS, INTC, JPM, DIS, DD, IBM, HD, UTX 


Remember:  “It’s a market of stocks, not just a stock market.”

Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.

The SPX MFC green line is pointed up at 25. 


96 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Wednesday.

53 NDX stocks are above their 30 DMA.

NDX Stocks to Watch on Thursday:
Moving Above 30 DMA = 20
AAL, AAPL, AMAT, AMGN, AVGO, BIDU, CELG, CHTR, COST, CTXS, DISCA, FOXA, ISRG, KHC, KLAC, MSFT, MU, PCLN, SYMC, YHOO

Moving Below 30 DMA = 1
GILD

6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Neutral
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Up

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