Monday, October 20, 2014

Stocks Begins Week With Rally...SPY & IWM Close Above 1%...ESI Upgraded and Closes Up 35.91%...AAPL Closes Above 100...

All nine sectors moved higher on Monday…XLB, XLV and XLP were the strongest sectors while XLI was the weakest. 

Breadth strengthened…advancers led decliners…2.81 to 1 on the NYSE and 2.20 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Monday – strengthened, advancers led
Friday – weakened, mixed
Thursday – strengthened, advancers led
Wednesday – weakened, mixed
Tuesday – strengthened, advancers led
Monday – strengthened, decliners led


SPY up 2.39 at 190.86 on 129.7 million shares
VIX down 3.42 at 18.57…
TNX down .18 at 21.81…
TLT up .28 at 121.35...
XLF up .15 at 22.47 on 49.3 million shares

AAPL up 3.59 at 101.26 on 77 million shares, above average volume
FB up 1.19 at 77.14…on 34.6 million shares

Technical Commentary:
DIA + 0.29%, SPY + 1.27%, QQQ + 1.52%, IWM + 1.91%.



Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Short-term Chart Targets:
SPY = 193.21, 194.05, 194.88...
QQQ = 96.08, 97.10, 98.76
IWM = 106.29, 107.34, 109.04…

Support Levels
SPY = 190.28, 189.66...
QQQ = 95.06, 93.66
IWM = 105.76, 103.74, 102.49...


Earnings this week
Monday: AAPL, CMG, HAL, HAS, ILMN, IBM, BTU, STLD, TXN, ZION,
Tuesday: ATI, APOL, EAT, BRCM, CNI, KO, CREE, ETFC, HOG, ISRG, KMB, LXK, LMT, MCD, TRV, UTX, VZ, VMW, YHOO
Wednesday: T, BA, DOW, EMC, EQIX, GD, LRCX, NXPI, ORLY, SWK, TSCO, WHR, XRR, YELP
Thursday: MMM, ALK, ALXN, ALTR, AMZN, CAT, CELG, CERN, CHKP, CMCSA, DECK, DNKN, GM, JNPR, KLAC, LLY, MXIM, MSFT, P, LUV, UA, UNP, UAL, WYNN, YNDX, ZNGA,
Friday: BMY, F, NDAQ, PG, STT, UPS

Q3 Earnings Reactions
Positive Reactions – AMD, C, CSX, DAL, GE, HON, LVS, MS, SCHW, SLB, STI, URI, XLNX, COST, BBBY, BBRY, MU, NKE, PAYX, LULU, PANW, ULTA, MFRM, SPLK,

More than 10% - NKE, ULTA, LULU, PANW, MFRM,

Negative Reactions – AXP, BAC, COF, EBAY, GOOGL, INTC, JNJ, JPM, KEY, MAT, NFLX, WFC, AZO, ADBE, KKD, CIEN,

More than -10% -

Reversal in progress – AZO,

Reversal of Initial Reaction – AXP, KKD, BBRY, MU,

The SPY Market Forecast is at 25.

___________________

Setups
Horizontal Breakout: NTES, SINA, COST,  
Diagonal Breakout: C, LOCO, PANW, SCTY, SWI, V, XONE, YELP, BX, KNDI, PCLN, SBUX, TRIP,
Bull Flag:  
Potential Bullish Divergence: 
Gap Up:
Gap Down: 
Bear Flag:  
At Support:   
C- Pattern

Moves
New Highs
H Breakout: MFRM, YOKU, BIDU, ROST,
D Breakout: AAL, BBY, CTRP, DAL, SCSS, TPX, UAL, CAR, CIEN, QIHU, STI, ESRX, FB, MNST,
Breakout Test:  
Bull Flag Bounce:   
Bounce: EBAY, GMCR,  
MACD Divergence Bounce:
Gap Up:
Gap Down: IBM, UNG,
C- Pattern:  
Bear Flag:  
Support Break:  


______________________

90 out of 100 NDX stocks closed higher and one was unchanged on Monday.

Leading NDX 100 stocks included: ILMN, CELG, MU, NXPI, GMCR, AAPL,EXPE, MNST, SPLS, ISRG, MAR, TRIP, CHTR, TXN, COST, AMGN

Lagging NDX stocks included: CTSH, CSCO, EQIX

Leading stocks > +2% on Monday: BBRY, SUNE, AAL, RCL, UAL, SCTY, DAL, MBLY, TWTR, CSIQ, ANGI

Lagging stocks < -3.0% included: XONE, IBM

Stocks to Watch on Tuesday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 12
SIAL, GMCR, ROST, CHRW, GRMN, MYL, SRCL, DLTR, ISRG, MNST, PAYX, REGN

Moving Above 30 DMA = 9
ADP, ALXN, BIDU, COST, FB, ORLY, TSCO, VRTX, XLNX

Moving Below 30 DMA = 1
WYNN
                                                                                             
Staying Below 30 DMA
AAPL, ADSK, BBBY, YHOO, AMGN, CELG, CERN, CTSH, DTV, EBAY, FAST, GILD, LBTYA, MSFT, NFLX, CSCO, EXPE, INTU, MU, SBAC, WFM, DISH, FISV, AVGO, ALTR, BRCM, CTXS, INTC, KLAC, NTAP, MAR, NXPI, SNDK, TX, VOD, SPLS, AKAM, BIIB, CHKP, GOOG, QCOM, CHTR, CMCSA, FFIV, LLTC, AMAT, CA, ESRX, EXPD, LMCA, LMCK, MXIM, SYMC, TRIP, VIAB, VRSK, EQIX, ILMN, MDLZ, NVDA, SIRI, CTRX, KRFT, ADBE, AMZN, ATVI, FOXA, STX, TSLA, VIP, HSIC, SBUX, DISCA, MAT, ADI, WDC, PCLN, PCAR

5-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Neutral

3-day Short Term Market Trend: Neutral/Up

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