Monday, June 30, 2014

Stocks End Session Mixed With The S&P 500 Slightly Down While The NASDAQ Gains 0.2%...Gold Has Biggest Gains Since February...GRPO Ends The Day Up 13.39%...

Four of nine sectors moved higher on Monday…XLU, XLB and XLE were the strongest sectors…XLI was the weakest sector. 

 Breadth weakened…as advancers led decliners 1.52 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.27 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Monday – weakened, advancers led
Friday – strengthened, advancers led
Thursday - mixed
Wednesday – strengthened, advancers led
Tuesday – weakened, decliners led



SPY down .10 at 195.72 on 70.4 million shares
VIX up .31 at 11.57…
TNX down .16 at 25.16…
TLT up .28 at 113.52...
XLF down .02 at 22.74 on 37.5 million shares, above average volume

AAPL up .95 at 92.93 on 49.5 million shares
FB down .31 at 67.29…on 27.1 million shares


Technical Commentary:
IWM +0.40%, QQQ + 0.17%,  SPY – 0.05%, DIA – 0.17%.


Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your protective stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Short-term up trend Chart Targets:
SPY = 196.05, 197.87, 198.99 …
QQQ = 93.02, 94.31, 94.89…
IWM = 117.48, 118.48, 120.67, 121.76…

Support Levels
SPY = 193.11, 191.96, 190.88…
QQQ = 91.73, 90.44…
IWM = 114.66, 113.62…


EARNINGS this week:
Monday –
Tuesday – CAMP, PAYX
Wednesday – STZ,
Thursday – ESI
Friday –

Q1 Earnings Reactions
Positive Reactions – APOL, BKS, KBH, MON, MU, NKE, SCHN, ADBE, BBRY, FDX, RHT, YGE, ULTA, CIEN, BIG, PANW, GLNG, QIHU, AAPL, ADSK, AET, ALL, ALXN, AMAT, ANGI, ANR, APA, ATVI, BA, BHI, BIDU, BTU, BWLD, BX, C, CHRW, CNX, COG, CTRP, CTRX, CTXS,  DAL, DAVE, DDS, DECK, DHI, DNB, DO, DTV, DV, EA, ENR, ETFC, FCX, FISV, FNMA, FOXA, GE, GILD, GMCR, GME, GOGO, GRMN, HAL, HAS, HOG, HPQ, HUM, IBKR, INTC, JCP, JNJ, KO, LPNT, LRCX, LVLT, MA, MAR, MGM, MNST, MRK, MS, NOK, NTAP,NXPI, PBI, PCLN, POT, PRU, RF, S, SCHW, SCTY, SNDK, SPWR, STI, SWK, SWKS, TKR, TMUS, TPX, TRIP, TRV, TSL, TSO, TWX, UNP, URI, UTHR, VRSK, WFC, WLP, WYNN, XRX, YELP, YHOO, Z

Negative Reactions – BBBY, GIS, CCL, WAG, ORCL, LULU, KKD, SPLK, ACI, ADM,  AEIS, AIG, AKAM, AKS, ALTR, AMGN, AMZN, ARWR, ATI, BAC, BIIB, BMY, BRCM, CAR, CBOE, CELG, CHKP, CLF, CLX, COF, CREE, CTSH, DDD, DIS, DISCA, DISH, DKS, DVA, EBAY, ESI, ESRX, EXPE, F, FAST, FEYE, FFIV, FXCM, GOOG, GRPN, IBM, JAZZ, JCI, JDSU, JPM, K,  KLAC, KMB, KRFT, LLTC, LLY, LNKD, LVS, LXK, MCP, MMM, MOS, MTW, MU, MXIM, NKE,NSC, NUE, NVDA, P, PCAR, PFE, PG, PNRA, PRGO, QCOM, REGN, SAVE, SEE, SFUN, SIRI, SOHU, SPLS, SSYS, STLD, STT, STX, SUNE, SWI, T, TJX, TSLA, TSN, TWTR, UA, UBNT, UNH, UPS, V, VECO, VIAB, VMW, VRTX, VZ, WDC, WFM, XLNX, YNDX, YY, ZION, ZNGA,

Reversal in progress – AEIS, AMGN, AMZN, BRCM, CHKP, CTSH, EXPE, FEYE, GRPN, KLAC, KMB, LLTC, LXK, LULU, MOS, NUE, PCAR, STLD, TWTR, WDC, ZION

Reversal of Initial Reaction – ADM, AIG, AMGN, AKAM, AKS, ARWR, ATI, BAC, BMY, BRCM, CAR, CELG, COF, DDD, DIS, DISCA, DVA, ESRX, F, FEYE, FFIV, IBM, JCI, K, KRFT, LLY, LNKD, LVS, MMM, MU, NKE, NSC, NUE, NVDA, PG, PRGO, QCOM, SAVE, SIRI, SOHU, SPLK, SSYS, STX, SUNE, T, TSLA, UBNT, UNH, UPS, VIAB, VMW, VZ, YNDX, YY, ANR, BTU, COG, YHOO


The SPY Market Forecast green line is rising in the upper zone at 89.

____________________

Setups
Horizontal Breakout: CRM, FAS, FSLR, GOGO, LNKD, QIHU, SCHW, SPY, SSYS, YNDX, TPX, AAPL, AVGO, BIDU, DTV, EBAY, GILD, GMCR, GRMN, STX, WDC, XLNX,
Diagonal Breakout: AIG, BX, DAL, ETFC, JNPR, SOHU, IBM, QCOM, TXN,
Bull Flag: STI, ZION, AKAM,  
Potential Bullish Divergence:  
Gap Up:  
Gap Down:
Bear Flag: 
At Support: C, KKD, COST,
C- Pattern:

Moves
New Highs: ATI, CTRP, Z,  
H Breakout: BBRY, CSIQ, FEYE, IWM, TSL, XONE, SINA, ILMN, MU, SNDK,
Diagonal Breakout: JCP, V,   
Bull Flag Bounce:  
Gap Up: CREE, PANW, NTAP, YHOO,
Gap Down:  
Breakout Test:  
Bounce: BAC, CIEN, GTAT, HOG, MS, SWKS, UBNT, UNG, UPL, VRSN, BRCM, MNST,   
MACD Divergence Bounce:    
Bear Flag:   
Support Break:  
C- Pattern:
      

______________________

24 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Monday.

Leading NDX 100 stocks included: MU, ILMN, NTAP, MNST, YHOO, SNDK, AVGO

Lagging NDX stocks included: CTXS, TRIP, MSFT, ELG, CTSH, SBUX

Leading stocks > +2% on Monday included: GRPO, XONE, CTRP, CSIQ, BBRY, FEYE, PANW, GOGO, CREE, Z, LNKD, MS

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: MFRM, AAL

Stocks to Watch on Tuesday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 69
MAR, CHRW, SIAL, MU, SNDK, CHTR, AAPL, ADP, CELG, EQIX, NXPI, AVGO, ATVI, KRFT, GMCR, CTRX, ILMN, ADSK, NFLX, CSCO, ADBE, AMAT, INTU, MSFT, BIDU, CMCSA, TRIP BRCM, GOOG, SIRI, AKAM, AMGN, BIIB, EXPE, LLTC, SBUX, FB, ALTR, TXN, TSLA, AMZN, GRMN, KLAC, ADI, INTC, MYL, STX, WDC, ORLY, SRCL, FAST, ISRG, LMCA, CHKP, XLNX, PAYX, SYMC, CTSH, DTV, MAT, DISH, LINTA, VRTX, FISV, GILD, SBAC, WYNN, FFIV, VOD, VIAB

Moving Above 30 DMA = 6
DLTR, MNST, NTAP, YHOO, MDLZ, LBTYA                                                                                                                                                    
                                   
Moving Below 30 DMA = 4
CTXS, HSIC, FOXA, VIP                                                                                                                                                                                                

Staying Below 30 DMA
PCLN, COST, PCAR, MXIM, ALXN, NVDA, QCOM, WFM, BBBY, CA, CERN, ROST, DISCA, REGN, ESRX, VRSK, EXPD,TSCO, SPLS, EBAY

Sixteen Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-Day Short Term Market Trend: Up



Stock Futures Soft In Pre-Market...Yahoo Upgraded...Go...Go...GoPro...Upstart Co Up 4.87%...MNKD Up 11.70% On Heavy Volume...

BMO – ES – .50…and NQ + 2.00…stock futures point to a FLAT open in pre-market…

SPY is down .16…

XLF is down .02…
Euro is up 11 pips….
TLT is up .28…
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               
Follow your rules for entry and exit…and always remember to adjust stops to protect profits also according to your rules...

Quoting Up: NTAP, YHOO, ILLMN, MU, KLAC, GPRO, CSIQ, RAX, SUNE,


Quoting Down: VRTX, X, WLT

Friday, June 27, 2014

QQQ Bull Market New High Close...AAPL Bounces Post Split...TRIP All-time New High...

Six of nine sectors moved higher and one was unchanged on Friday…XLK, XLF and XLU were the strongest sectors…XLB was the weakest sector. 

Sector Posture – eight sectors are positive 
Positive trend: XLB, XLE, XLF, XLK, XLP, XLU, XLV, XLY
Neutral trend near resistance:
Neutral trend near support: XLI

Breadth strengthened…as advancers led decliners 2.01 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.71 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Friday – strengthened, advancers led
Thursday - mixed
Wednesday – strengthened, advancers led
Tuesday – weakened, decliners led
Monday – weakened, decliners led


SPY up .38 at 195.82 on 71.4 million shares
VIX down .37 at 11.26…
TNX up .07 at 25.32…
TLT down .17 at 113.24...
XLF up .09 at 22.76 on 17.9 million shares

AAPL up 1.08 at 91.98 on 64 million shares, double Thursday’s volume
FB up .47 at 67.60…on 46.4 million shares


Technical Commentary:
IWM +0.67%, QQQ + 0.44%, SPY +0.19%, DIA +0.05%.

QQQ made a new bull-market high reaching its highest level since Sep 25, 2000.  SPY and IWM gave a bull-flag bounce entry signal


Sector moves in XLB and XLF bounced in an ascending triangle.  XLE is in a bull-flag patternXLU and XLY bounced, setting up a horizontal resistance breakout.  XLV drifted lower from its all-time high on Thursday

Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your protective stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Short-term up trend Chart Targets:
SPY = 196.05, 197.87, 198.99 …
QQQ = 93.02, 94.31, 94.89…
IWM = 117.48, 118.48, 120.30…

Support Levels
SPY = 193.11, 191.96, 190.88…
QQQ = 91.73, 90.44…
IWM = 114.66, 113.62…

EARNINGS this week:
Monday –
Tuesday – CAMP, PAYX
Wednesday – STZ,
Thursday – ESI
Friday –

Earnings this past week:
Monday – MU
Tuesday – CCL, WAG
Wednesday – APOL, BKS, BBBY, GIS, MON
Thursday – ESI, LEN, NKE, SCHN
Friday – KBH, FINL

Q1 Earnings Reactions
Positive Reactions – APOL, BKS, KBH, MON, MU, NKE, SCHN, ADBE, BBRY, FDX, RHT, YGE, ULTA, CIEN, BIG, PANW, GLNG, QIHU, AAPL, ADSK, AET, ALL, ALXN, AMAT, ANGI, ANR, APA, ATVI, BA, BHI, BIDU, BTU, BWLD, BX, C, CHRW, CNX, COG, CTRP, CTRX, CTXS,  DAL, DAVE, DDS, DECK, DHI, DNB, DO, DTV, DV, EA, ENR, ETFC, FCX, FISV, FNMA, FOXA, GE, GILD, GMCR, GME, GOGO, GRMN, HAL, HAS, HOG, HPQ, HUM, IBKR, INTC, JCP, JNJ, KO, LPNT, LRCX, LVLT, MA, MAR, MGM, MNST, MRK, MS, NOK, NTAP,NXPI, PBI, PCLN, POT, PRU, RF, S, SCHW, SCTY, SNDK, SPWR, STI, SWK, SWKS, TKR, TMUS, TPX, TRIP, TRV, TSL, TSO, TWX, UNP, URI, UTHR, VRSK, WFC, WLP, WYNN, XRX, YELP, YHOO, Z

Negative Reactions – BBBY, GIS, CCL, WAG, ORCL, LULU, KKD, SPLK, ACI, ADM,  AEIS, AIG, AKAM, AKS, ALTR, AMGN, AMZN, ARWR, ATI, BAC, BBRY, BIIB, BMY, BRCM, CAR, CBOE, CELG, CHKP, CLF, CLX, COF, CREE, CTSH, DDD, DIS, DISCA, DISH, DKS, DVA, EBAY, ESI, ESRX, EXPE, F, FAST, FEYE, FFIV, FXCM, GOOG, GRPN, IBM, JAZZ, JCI, JDSU, JPM, K,  KLAC, KMB, KRFT, LLTC, LLY, LNKD, LVS, LXK, MCP, MMM, MOS, MTW, MU, MXIM, NKE,NSC, NUE, NVDA, P, PCAR, PFE, PG, PNRA, PRGO, QCOM, REGN, SAVE, SEE, SFUN, SIRI, SOHU, SPLS, SSYS, STLD, STT, STX, SUNE, SWI, T, TJX, TSLA, TSN, TWTR, UA, UBNT, UNH, UPS, V, VECO, VIAB, VMW, VRTX, VZ, WDC, WFM, XLNX, YNDX, YY, ZION, ZNGA,

Reversal in progress – AEIS, AMGN, BRCM, CHKP, CTSH, EXPE, FEYE, GRPN, KLAC, KMB, LLTC, LXK, MOS, NUE, PCAR, STLD, WDC, ZION

Reversal of Initial Reaction – ADM, AIG, AKAM, AKS, ARWR, ATI, BAC, BMY, BRCM, CAR, CELG, COF, DDD, DIS, DISCA, DVA, ESRX, F, FFIV, IBM, JCI, K, KRFT, LLY, LNKD, LVS, MMM, MU, NKE, NSC, NUE, NVDA, PG, PRGO, QCOM, SAVE, SIRI, SOHU, STX, SUNE, T, UPS, VIAB, VMW, VZ, YNDX, YY, ANR, BTU, COG, YHOO


The SPY Market Forecast green line is rising in the upper zone at 89.

____________________

Setups
Horizontal Breakout: IWM, AAL, CTRP, FEYE, FSLR, GOGO, JCP, LNKD, MFRM, P, PANW, SSYS, SUNE, TPX, X, XONE, GILD, GMCR, WDC,
Diagonal Breakout: BX, CIEN, MS, STI, TSL, V, ZION, AMZN, AVGO, EBAY, ILMN, SNDK, TXN,
Bull Flag: ANGI, BBRY, CREE, CRM, ETFC, FAS, GTAT, JASO, QIHU, RCL, SWKS, UBNT, UPL, ADBE, AKAM, BRCM, CTXS, MNST, MU,
Potential Bullish Divergence: QCOM,
Gap Up:  
Gap Down:
Bear Flag: 
At Support: AIG, BAC, C, DAL, SWI, UAL, UNG, NTAP, PCLN,
C- Pattern:

Moves
New Highs: QQQ, ATI, GPRO, SCTY, SPWR, SSYS, BIDU, CELG, CMCSA, FB, INTC, MAR, MSFT, TRIP, TSLA,
H Breakout: CSIQ, DDD, SCSS, SFUN,
Diagonal Breakout: WDC,   
Bull Flag Bounce: SCHW, AAPL, ADSK, EXPE, GRMN, NFLX, STX,
Gap Up: MTW, NKE,
Gap Down: VRSN,
Breakout Test: GME, JD, JDSU, TWTR, GOOG, SBUX,
Bounce: GLW, ESRX, FFIV,
MACD Divergence Bounce:    
Bear Flag:    
Support Break: RAX,
C- Pattern:

       
______________________

57 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Friday and two were unchanged.


Leading NDX 100 stocks included: GMCR, FFIV, ISRG, DISH, EXPE, GRMN, TRIP, CHTR, SBAC, NXPI

Lagging NDX stocks included: ALXN, SPLS, MU, ADBE, TSCO, PCLN, REGN, MNST, HSIC, MDLZ

Leading stocks > +2% on Friday included: MTW, SSYS, JCP,

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: RAX, VRSN, WLT

Stocks to Watch on Monday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 71
MAR, CHRW, SIAL, MU, SNDK, CHTR, AAPL, CTXS, ADP, CELG, EQIX, NXPI, AVGO, ATVI, KRFT, GMCR, CTRX, ILMN, ADSK, NFLX, CSCO, ADBE, AMAT, HSIC, INTU, MSFT, BIDU, CMCSA, TRIP, BRCM, GOOG, SIRI, AKAM, AMGN, BIIB, EXPE, FB, LLTC, SBUX, ALTR, TXN, TSLA, ADI, AMZN, GRMN, KLAC, INTC, MYL, STX, VIP, WDC, ORLY, SRCL, FAST, ISRG, LMCA, CHKP, XLNX, PAYX, SYMC, CTSH, DISH, DTV, MAT, LINTA, VRTX, FISV, GILD, SBAC, FOXA, WYNN

Moving Above 30 DMA = 3
FFIV, VIAB, VOD                                                                                                                  
                                   
Moving Below 30 DMA = 4
DLTR, MDLZ, MNST, PCLN                                                                                                                                                                                     
Staying Below 30 DMA
COST, NTAP, PCAR, MXIM, ALZN, NVDA, QCOM, WFM, BBBY, CA, CERN, DISCA, REGN, ROST, YHOO, ESRX, VRSK, EXPD, TSCO, LBTYA, SPLS, EBAY

Sixteen Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-Day Short Term Market Trend: Up