Thursday, July 18, 2013

SPY, DIA, IWM All Hit New Highs...SINA Bounced Up 8.25%...EBAY, INTC, SCSS All Have Negative Reaction To Earnings...

Eight of nine sectors moved higher on Thursday… XLF, XLE and XLI were the strongest sectors…XLK was the weakest sector.

Breadth strengthened…advancers led decliners…2.16 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.65 to 1 on the NASDAQ…

Thursday – strengthened, advancers led
Wednesday – strengthened, advancers led
Tuesday – weakened, decliners led
Monday – strengthened, advancers led
Friday – weakened, advancers led



SPY up .92…volume 103.5 million shares
VIX down .01 at 13.77…
TNX up .43 at 25.34…
TLT down 1.36 at 107.50...
XLF up .28 at 20.72…volume 47 million shares

AAPL up 1.45 at 431.76volume 7.8 million shares
FB down .47 at 26.18volume 24.7 million shares


Technical Commentary:
IWM + 0.67%, DIA + 0.58%, SPY + 0.55%, QQQ – 0.25%.

The SPY, IWM, and DIA all hit new highs today.  The SPY closed up .91 or .55% and IWM was up .69 or .67% closing at its 161.8% extension, while the DIA finished the day up .90 or .58%.

XLNX gapped up with positive reaction to earnings.  XLNX closed up 2.30 or 5.28% closing at an all time high.

SINA had a large bounce today and broke horizontal resistance to close up 4.96 or 8.25%. It should be noted that SINA closed today at 65.10 and is only about $5 away from breaking its mid-September 2012 horizontal resistance of $70.

UNG bounced today breaking above its diagonal resistance to close up .90 or 4.71%.  WLT also bounced today at closed at its diagonal resistance…it was up 1.10 or 8.83% on 10.8 million shares.

JCI gapped up on positive earnings reaction closing up 3.09 or 8.28% on 17 million shares.

EBAY, SCSS, and INTC all received negative reaction to earnings today.  EBAY gapped down 6.73%.  INTC also gapped down 3.75%.  And SCSS likewise gapped down 9.53%.

Earnings of Interest
Monday – C
Tuesday – KO, CSX, GS, JNJ, MOS, URI, YHOO
Wednesday – AXP, BAC, EBAY, INTC, IBM, MAT, SNDK, SCSS, STLD, USB, XLNX
Thursday – AMD, CHKP, CMG, GOOG, ISRG, KEY, MSFT, MS, OSTK PM, SWKS, UNP, UNH
Friday BHI, GE, HON, SLB, STI, WHR


Chart Signals Strategy Guidelines
When the market is trending up Chart Signals looks for support bounce and resistance breakout entries. 

When the market is trending down Chart signals looks for resistance pull back and support break entries. 

When the market is sideways in consolidation Chart Signals will look for support bounce, diagonal breakouts and pull backs at resistance where price action stays between support and resistance

Technical setups for short-term option trades be in and out by earnings release.
Over earnings release use earnings option strategies such as straddles, strangles, OTM calls or puts.
After earnings look for bullish setups in positive reaction stocks and bearish setups in negative reaction stocks.


The Market Forecast Green Line is in the upper zone. 

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Setups
H Breakout: ATVI, FFIV, GRMN, MU, SNDK, SYMC, ANGI, C, FIVE, GRPN, GS, LVS, NTES, PWRD, STI, UAL,

Diagonal Breakout:  AAPL, WYNN,

Bull Flag: GOOG, MSFT, PCLN, ESI, MFRM, SPLK, SSYS, TIF, TPX,

Potential Bullish Divergence:  

Gap Up:

Gap Down: 

Bear Flag:   

At Support:  


Moves
New Highs: BBBY, ESRX, GILD, WDC, BAC, CIEN, FAS, LNKD, SPY,

Gap Up: CTSH, XLNX,    

Gap Down:  CELG, EBAY, INTC, SCSS,

H&D Breakout: MNST, MYL, SOHU,

Breakout Test: 

Bounce: SINA, TBT, UNG, WLT,

MACD Divergence Bounce:  

Bear Flag:  

Support Break: JCP,  

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62 of 100 Leading NDX stocks closed higher on Thursday and two were unchanged.


Leading NDX 100 stocks included:  CHKP, XLNX, CTRX, SNDK, ALXN, FOSL, BIDU, EXPD, ATIVE, LMCA, VIAB, DELL, CTSH

Lagging NDX stocks included:  EBAY, MXIM, INTC, AVGO, MWSA, CELG, QCOM, FB

Leading stocks > +2% on Thursday included: SINA, HLF, ANR, FAS, HUM, X, BAC, LNKD, UCO, ESI, SOHU, ZION, UAL, CIEN, LVS, TBT, GMCR, CROX

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: FAZ, TPX, SMH

Stocks to Watch on Thursday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 89
SPLS, CSCO, AMZN, DLTR, ADBE, INTU, SBUX, BBBY, EXPE, MCHP, PCLN,  SRCL, VRTX, ALTR, CA, LINTA, MAT, MNST, ORLY, PCAR, PCLN, ROST, STX, VOD, VIAB, FB, LBTYA, KRFT, LMCA, CMCSA, GOOG, HSIC, DISCA, VRSK, ADP, ALXN, CHKP, CTSH, DTV, EBAY, FOSL, NTAP, SYMC, WFM, WDC, NFLX, BMC, CELG, ESRX, FISV, LLTC, XLNX, ADI, ATVI, BIIB, CHRW, COST, CTXS, EXPD, GILD, LIFE, MYL, NUAN, PAYX, XRAY, TXN, SIAL, SIRI, AKAM, AMAT, GRMN, KLAC, YHOO, AMGN, MSFT, NVDA, EQIX, REGN, SBAC, AAPL, ADSK, BIDU, CERN, FFIV, MDLZ, WYNN, FAST, MU, ORCL

Moving Above 30 DMA = 2
SNDK, CTRX,

Moving Below 30 DMA = 1
AVGO, MXIM, QCOM

Staying Below 30 DMA
BRCM, GOLD, MAT, DELL, SHLD, ISRG, INTC, NWSA

Four-Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
Short Term Market Trend: Up



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