Tuesday, May 22, 2012

SPY Above Monday's S1, Pulls Back as Euro Falls, DELL Drops...FB Down...


The SPY pulled back after the Euro fell.  TNX interest rates rose 0.33, financial stocks rose and bonds moved lower.  The SPX closed at 1,316.63 above its 1,300 support area.

Five of nine sectors moved higher on Tuesday. XLF, XLU, and XLY were the strongest sectors.

Breadth weakened as advancers led decliners 1.07 to 1 on the NYSE and decliners led 1.73 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Exchange        NYSE       NASDAQ
Advancers       1,560             923
Decliners         1,457          1,604

SPY moved up 23 cents on 197.5 million shares…and was down 49 cents in after-hours trading…

AAPL was volatile ranging from a high of 573.88 to a low of 552.58 closing down -4.31 at 556.97 on 24.8 million shares...

DELL -1.92, -12.73% after-hours trading following earnings and weak guidance…

FB -3.03 at 31.00 on 101.8 million shares.....

GRPN -44 cents, -3.55% in bull flag following reversal pattern…


C Pattern Continuation: SHLD, ALXN

C Pattern Entry: SIAL, ZAGG

C Pattern Setup: CRM, SWKS, DHR, V, A, GOOG, AAPL, SRCL, INTU, DLTR, CTXS, CMCSA, VRTX, WFM

Bounce: CRUS, CRM, MNST, BBBY, CERN, CTXS, ROST

Daily/Weekly Bull Flags: GRPN, CRUS, SWI, CRM, VECO, MNST, BIIB, BMC, NWSA, ORLY, VRSN, WCRX

MACD Histogram Bullish Divergence: RVBD, CIEN, MCP,CROX, SOHU, VMW, TPX, JDSU, MOS, INFA, F, BIDU, NFLX, QCOM, NNVDA, SBUX, SHLD, VMED, PNRA, MSF, MRVL, MCHP, INTU, INFY, GOLD, FISV, EXPD, CTRP, CHKP, CELG, ADBE, AKAM, ALTR, ALXN,


Technical Commentary:

The SPY moved higher and reversed after the Euro sold off towards support.  The SPY did stay above the S1 level of Monday’s large whit candle.

Monday Highlights: 
SPY closes up 23 cents
The Euro fell 128 pips, closed 1.2679
TNX +0.58
VIX moved higher +0.47, below 25 at 22.48
XLF closed up 11 cents

This Week:

Bounce in TNX interest rates even after the Euro started to sell off and move towards support.  If the Euro breaks support, look for rates to roll over on a strengthening dollar and for XLF and the SPY to pull back towards support.

ES bullish engulfing close 1,315, horizontal support 1,290, 1,262
Euro 1.2807, horizontal support 1.2622
TNX near 9 month low of 17.35


50 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Tuesday…


Leading NDX 100 stocks included GMCR, ALXN, VOD, FAST, SPLS,ADSK, VRTX, FOSL, ROST, WFM

Lagging NDX stocks included NFLX, STX, RIMM, GOLD, GOOG, BIDU, MRVL, ALTR, YHOO, FLEX

Leading stocks > +2% on Tuesday included TSLA, LNKD, CRUS, C, LDK, FAS, BAC, TBT, CROX

Losing stocks < -2.0% included PCX, FB, TSL, CREE, MCP, WDC, ANR, UCO, GRPN, SINA, ESI, VECO, ANF, AKS, CDE, FAZ, HLF, CLF

Stocks to Watch on Wednesday

Holding Above 30 DMA = 8
TLT, CRUS, SWI, VECO, FAZ, NTES, GRPN, ZAGG

Moving Above 30 DMA = 2


Moving Below 30 DMA = 0


Staying Below 30 DMA
LNKD, UAL, CHL, LDK, URE, CREE, TSL, STI, WDC, DLR, NKE, ANF, ATI, CRM, CSTR, DE, GLW, IBM, SLB, VMW, CMG, DHR, ESI, FAS, FCX, SMH, SWKS, TIF, UCO, V, AKS, ANR, JNPR, X, HLF, SOHU, DECK, HUM, CROX, LVS, CIEN, PCX, RCL, RVBD, CLF, MCP, SWK, TPX, ZION, INFA, BAC, A, TBT, F, JDSU, C, GS, TSLA, COH, MOS, ICE, SINA, GES, CDE

Eight Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Down
Short Term Market Trend: Neutral

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