Monday, April 18, 2011

SPX Bounces at 1,295 Forms Hammer-like Candle...


The SPX formed a hammer that closed below it 30 DMA, -14.54 at 1,305.14.

SPX hammer, below 30 DMA -1.10%
INDU black candle, above 30 DMA, -1.14%
COMPQ hammer, just below 30 DMA, -1.06%
RUT black candle, just below 30 DMA, -1.61%

Breadth weakened on Monday as decliners led advancers 4.23 to 1 on the NYSE and 3.86 to 1 on the NASDAQ …

Exchange       NYSE          NASDAQ
Advancers         581                 543
Decliners        2,462              2,101

Index              Chg.    Close    Direction      Confirmation
VIX                 +1.64      16.96     Up                 Yes – SPX
SOX                -7.79    423.44     Down            Yes – COMPQ

Leading stocks > +2% on Monday included SINA, FAZ, LVS, CF

Losing stocks < -2.0% included CRUS, TSL, PCX, FAS, UCO, NVDA, FWLT, LDK, BAC, CAT, ATW, RVBD, ATI, ARUN, ANF, JDSU, WLT, JEC, CIEN,SLW, DE, NDAQ, GMCR, IPI, SLB, DECK, CDE, URE, CLF, DOW

Positives – bullish candle on SPX, COMPQ, NDX, RUT, AAPL, AMZN, BIDU, GOOG, NFLX, PCLN, QCOM,

Negatives – breadth and sectors weakened, Euro, VIX, TNX

Interest rates TNX -0.39 moved down and bond ETF TLT moved up 24 cents.  Financial stocks XLF fell 22 cents. The Euro moved down 194 pips to 1.4233 at 5 pm on Monday.

All nine sectors moved lower on Monday.  Consumer Staples XLP -0.55% and Utilities XLU -0.87% were the strongest sectors. 

Key Earnings this week:
Monday
C reports 10 cents vs. 9 cents estimate
STLD reports 46 cents vs. 41 cents estimate
ZION reports 8 cents vs. -18 cents estimate
TXN reports 52 cents vs. 63 cents estimate

Tuesday – INTC, ISRG, LLTC, MICC, ST, WYNN, YHOO, CREE, CSX, GS, HOG, JNJ, JNPR, RF, STT, SYK, VMW
Wednesday – AAPL, GILD, FFIV, VMED, LRCX, QCOM, AMGN, AXP, AMR, DAL, FCX, MAR, STI, CAKE, UNP, UTX, WFC, WDC
Thursday – MXIM, SNDK, VRTX, BIIB, AMD, ALD, ALXN, COF, DD, GR, LLL, NEM, NUE, NOK, PCX, PNC, RMBS, SLB, UAL, VZ

Look for selectivity and rotation to occur with positive earnings attracting big money buying and negative earnings attracting big money selling.

SPX
Resistance: 1,311, 1,321, 1,330
Support: 1,300, 1,288

The short term 3 day trend is down.
The six-month trend is up.
The twelve-month trend is up.

Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading.

Bullish entry signal is a bounce off support and a break above the high of the low day or a break out of horizontal resistance.

Bearish entry signal is a break of short term support or a bounce down from the 30 DMA or other resistance.

All seven high profile NASDAQ stocks formed bullish candles:
AAPL +4.39 piercing line
AMZN -1.67doji, bull flag
BIDU -0.92 hammer
GOOG -3.86hammer
NFLX -2.16hammer
PCLN -3.29doji
QCOM +0.15 bullish engulfing

NDX 100 stocks stronger than the NDX include AKAM, RIMM, WYNN, AAPL, STX, ORLY, SPLS, CELG, INFY, CTRP, QCOM and CEPH.

Stocks weaker than the NDX include MICC, MRVL, LRCX, JOYG, NVDA, GILD, BMC, ALXN, LINTA, XRAY, MU, KLAC, WCRX, VOD and XLNX.

Stocks to Watch on Tuesday
Holding Above 30 DMA
HUM, GMCR, HLF, SINA, UCO, CSTR, WDC, DHR, NTES, MCP, A, WLT, ACN, SOHU, CMG, ANF, DECK, DLR, CRM, LVS, TIF, V, NDAQ, NYX, SNDK, CIEN, IL, VMW, UNP, FAZ, SWK, URE, ATI, TLT
Moving Above 30 DMA = 1
CF
Moving Below 30 DMA = 12
ARUN, CAT, CHL, CLF, DE, DOW, JEC, NVDA, PCX, SMH, TSL, UNG
Staying Below 30 DMA
F, IAG, ZION, GS, CDE, FAS, FCX, STI, TBT ESI, FWLT, HAS, NETL, SLW, AGU, AKS, POT, SLB, SWN, VECO, VLO, ATW, MOS, IPI, X, AMD, ICE, CAM, RVBD, JNPR, BAC, GLW, JDSU, CRUS, SWKS, GES, MHS, LDK, UAL

Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
Short Term Market Trend: Down

2 comments:

TraderBobb said...

Dave:
Thanks for all the details, especially earnings. I sometimes miss those.
Appreciate it.
Robert
CANI_212

maryb said...

Dave, thanks for a great class last night, very insightful about how the open price is determined on the SPX candle. This BGO is consistent with my engineering problem solving experiences over the years; understanding how metrics are derived explains many situations accurately and makes problem solving or decision making more productive. Thank you, Mary