SP500 1,186.69 -20.09 -1.66%
COMPQ 2,461.19 -50.73 -2.02%
Russell 2000 716.60 -21.14 -2.87%
Exchange NYSE NASD
Advancing 767 615
Declining 2,311 2,134
Oil $86.25 +1.08
Gold $1,180.10 +11.70
SOX 376.07 -17.90
VIX 22.05 +3.61
Index Direction Confirmation
VIX Up Yes – SPX
SOX Down Yes – COMPQ
Key Resistance Levels
1,200 = Jul 2008 support
1,216 = Fib extension
Key Support Levels
1,178 = Fib extension
1,155 = 1,119 BO chart target – Dec 23
The SPX moved lower on Friday while staying above its low of 1,181 on Tuesday and Wednesday. All four broad indices closed higher in April for the third consecutive month, even though they closed lower for the week ending April 30.
The SPX, INDU and COMPQ all stayed above this week's support and formed mini head and shoulder patterns. The SPX mini pattern has a measuring of 35 points and a target of 1,145 if support is broken.
Look at these Charts
(click image to enlarge)
Additionally the bounce in the bull flag patterns on Thursday pulled back on Friday and stayed above Tuesday's low in ACN, BA, BYI, CRM, DHR, GR, MCD, NFLX, PCLN, SPG, UNP, URE, WFC, WHR and ZION. Only CAT, FLS, PCP and SWK dropped below their low on either Tuesday or Wednesday. FLS and PCP report earnings this next week.
BYI, WFC, ZION and PNC were relatively strong in their bull flag pattern on Friday.
Look at these Charts
(click image to enlarge)
Guidance:
Upward momentum failed on Friday and downward momentum was strong. For the most part bull flag support bounces failed to follow through although many did not fall below a short term stop below the low of this week's low.
The SPX moved toward its 1,178 support level. If this support level breaks on Monday be prepared for a potential move to the next support level of 1,155.
Continue to trade with the trend. Be mentally flexible and be willing to trade when your entry and exit signals appear.
The intermediate term chart target is still 1,255 in approximately nine weeks after the 1,150 breakout on March 16.
The VIX rose +3.61 and did confirm the move down on Friday.
The short term trend is neutral and near support.
The four-month trend is up.
The twelve-month trend is up.
Continue to focus on and trade setups on the charts of the stocks you watch trade with the trend and follow your rules.
Continue to adjust stops according to your rules.
AAPL -7.55
QCOM -0.30
GOOG -6.30
BIDU -20.91
NDX 100 stocks stronger than the NDX include: WCRX, SRCL, HOLX, CELG, TEVA, EXPD, MICC, INTU, BIIB, NIHD, PPDI, DISH, ORCL, COST, CHKP, APOL, LBTYA, HANS, QCOM, SIAL, DTV, VRSN and CEPH.
Stocks to Watch on Monday
Holding Above 30 DMA
NFLX, WHR, UNP, CAT, URE, DHR, JEC, CRM, SNDK, FLS, ZION, MCD, GME, TSL, BYI, SYNA, ATW, SWK, ACN, HLF, ICE, PCLN, PCP, SPG, DECK, GR, HANS, DOW, UAUA, WFC, AMX, MYGN, USO
Moving Above 30 DMA = 0
Moving Below 30 DMA = 11
AMD, BA, BAC, BKC, CREE, FAS, GES, MA, USD, UYG, V
Staying Below 30 DMA
CAM, CHL, SWN, UNG, ATI, FAZ, DE, BUCY, WLT, CLF, MHS, WCG, ESI, GMCR, GS, FCX, X, WMT, PWRD, AGU, IPI, POT, MOS
Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
Short Term Market Trend: Neutral