Monday, February 1, 2010
Stocks Open Higher, Close Higher in Support Bounce...
DJIA 10,185.53 +118.20 +1.17%
SP500 1,089.19 +15.32 +1.43%
COMPQ 2,171.20 +23.85 +1.11%
Russell 2000 609.25 +7.21 +1.20%
Exchange NYSE NASD
Advancing 2,414 1,726
Declining 650 991
Oil $74.43 +1.54
Gold $1,104.30 +21.30
SOX 325.72 +9.65
VIX 22.59 -2.03
Index Direction Confirmation
VIX Down Yes – SPX
SOX Up Yes – COMPQ
Strongest Sectors: XLB +3.98%…XLE +3.30%...XLF +1.69%
Weakest Sectors: XLV +0.58%...XLU +0.64%...XLP +0.76%
All nine sectors moved higher on Monday. Materials, Energy, Financials and Industrials were stronger than the SPX +1.43%.
Sector Watch
Up Trending: XLK, XLB, XLY, XLV, XLP, XLE, XLI, XLU
Horizontal Breakout: XLF
Sideways:
Down Trending:
Key Resistance Levels:
1,087 = Nov 10 Channel low
1,101 = October High
1,105 - 1,113 = November High
1,119 = December High
Key Support Levels
1,082 = Nov 9 S1 level
1,075 = 875 Breakout Chart Target
1,050 = Oct 08 High
Stocks, gold and oil rallied on Monday delivering the short term technical bounce that seemed probable looking at the charts at the end of last week. The rally was led by Material stocks that had fallen -14.8% over the past three weeks.
More stocks have transitioned from up trending to sideways trending but there are still up trending stocks to trade should you choose. Remember the homework for a virtual trade on CREE.
ATI, FCX, X, AKS, NEM, EMN, ARG, TIE and DOW all gained more than 5%. AA +4.95% just missed the cut.
Financials which were relatively stronger last week were led by regional banks ZION, RF and followed by IVZ, NTRS, STT, GS, MS, TROW, ICE, PRU, KEY and SPG, all rose more than 2%.
Semis also rallied led by AMD, MRVL, MU, WFR, LLTC, KLAC, STM, SNDK, NVLS, TER and NSM, all up more than 3%.
Stocks continuing a support bounce: GR, PCP, ZION
Stocks forming bullish haramis: BA, DE, DHR, POT, MON, MOS, SNDK
Stocks above or near the High of the Low Day: AGU, AMED, BKC, CHL, CREE, FLS, HANS, IPI, MCD, PCLN, SPG, UNG
Stocks with earnings still to come include: DECK, DLB, DOW, K, MA, MYGN, WHR and WLT.
Guidance:
The SPX bounced off the 1,075 support area and rose to the 1,090 resistance.
The short term trend is neutral.
The multi-week trend is sideways.
The multi-month trend is up.
The SPX and other broad indexes began their short term support bounce that we said was due in Friday’s post.
Lower your stops on the chart on your down trending positions to protect profits if a support bounce continues.
The 1,075 support area did NOT break on Monday. The next level of SPX support is still 1,044 - 1,050. Look for down trending setups on stocks that have shown reversal patterns or that are breaking support if the SPX breaks support.
Also watch for potential bear flags if Monday’s rally leads to lower highs.
Continue to focus on and trade setups on the charts of the stocks you watch and follow your rules.
Yes, there are still some up trending stocks. If you have not yet been stopped out of your up trending positions, continue to raise your stops.
AAPL +2.66
QCOM +0.58
GOOG +3.07
BIDU +13.97
NDX 100 stocks stronger than the NDX include: NVDA, STX, MRVL, AKAM, STLD, WYNN, RYAAY, PCLN, DISH, FLEX, FSLR, LLTC, DTV, KLAC, BIDU, NTAP, FWLT,EXPE, BRCM, URBN, JOYG, ERTS, AMAT, MCHP, CERN, ALTR, MICC, LBTYA, DELL, VRTX, MXIM, CTSH, SYMC, HANS, ESRX, SBUX, NIHD and LRCX.
Stocks to Watch on Tuesday
Leading Stocks
Holding Above 30 DMA
ALGT, CBST, AMED, GMCR, HANS, VAR, BA, CEDC, ZION, K, FAZ, DLB, WFC, NFLX, VPRT
Moving Above 30 DMA = 3
CHL, MCD, CREE
Moving Below 30 DMA = 0
Staying Below 30 DMA
ESI, SNDK, DECK, HANS, JEC, MA, UAUA, BYI, ACN, FLS, TDG, UNG, BUCY, DE, DOW, FAS, HLF, SYNA, UNP, UYG, X, ATW, CAM, HDB, MHS, MOS, PCP, GR, URE, GS, HEAT, WHR, CAT, FCX, BAC, DHR, AGU, FUQI, ICE, IPI, SWN, USO, WLT, WMT, BKC, WAB, USD, PWRD, AMD, AMX, CGA, GES, MON, POT, TSL, BDX, MYGN, WCG, SPG, GME, MELI, PCLN
Intermediate Term Market Trend: Neutral = 3 months, Up = 10 month
Short Term Market Trend: Neutral
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3 comments:
I don't understand - Lower your stops on the chart on your down trending positions to protect profits if a support bounce continues.
Can anyone help explain?
Thanks, Linda W
Linda,
Visually on the chart, this is why I say "on the chart" not on the value of say your put option or short position. If you had a stop on the chart at 34 (above resistance)and the stock fell to 31you may lower the stop to 32.50 on the chart.
Cheers,
Dave
Ahhh... got it... thanks so much.
Linda W.
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