Thursday, July 23, 2009
SPX Breaks Through Resistance...
DJIA + 188.03, +2.12%
SP500 + 22.22, +2.33%
NASDAQ Comp. + 47.22, +2.45%
Russell 2000 + 17.15, +3.24%
Exchange NYSE NASD
Advancing 2,155 2,085
Declining 199 635
Oil $67.16 +$1.76 (Sep. contract)
Gold $954.80 +$1.50
SOX 304.72 +2.95
VIX 23.43 -0.04
The VIX moved down and did confirm the move up in the SPX on Thursday.
Strongest Sectors: XLB +3.41%...XLF +2.88%...XLE +2.84%
Weakest Sectors: XLP +1.38%...XLK +1.96%...XLV +2.01%
All nine sectors moved higher on Thursday. Materials, Financials, Energy, Utilities and Consumer Discretionary were stronger than the SPX +2.33%.
Financial stocks stronger than XLF +2.88%: AFL, PRU, TROW, MET, KEY, RF, IVZ, ICE, BAC, MS, JPM, ALL, SPG, GS, TRV, ZION and ETFs UYG and FAS.
Tech stocks stronger than XLK +1.96%: EBAY, EMC, VZ, SYMC, AMT, ADBE, T, MA, GOOG, TXN, CSCO, ORCL, GLW and HPQ.
Sector Watch
Up Trending:
Horizontal Breakout: XLB, XLK, XLY
Sideways: XLE, XLV, XLF, XLP, XLI, XLU
Down Trending:
SPX
Key resistance levels:
980 = Thursday’s high
1,007 = November horizontal
Key support levels:
962 = 161.8% Fib extension
944 – 956 = old January/June/July resistancel
930 = horizontal
920 = horizontal end of May high
917 = 50 DMA
The SPX broke through the 955 horizontal resistance area rising in a strong to 979.42 before 976.29. Thursday morning MMM and POT rose after earnings following the price action of GS, INTC and IBM last week and AAPL on Tuesday. After the market closed MSFT, AMZN, BIDU, DECK, MCD, BNI and AXP reported earnings that sent the stocks and futures lower in after hours trading.
After a string of positive earnings that sent the market higher and through the horizontal resistance of the past several months, will Thursday's after market close earning reports erase Thursday's gains and send the market back below the the 955 now support area?
The strength of Thursday's breakout indicates the big money conviction of the move that began in early March and appears more likely to hold. A trader must however be prepared on every breakout for a potential failure.
Look for Thursday's Earnings stocks to open lower Friday morning and watch how they trade. If they continue lower look for the broad indices to pull back. If they find support they may rise after the open like POT did on Thursday.
Key Earnings Reactions
Thursday:
ISRG +26.84
CELG +18.63
EBAY +10.64%
MMM +7.36%
POT +7.70%
AMZN -6.62% in after hours
BIDU -1.78% in after hours
AXP -4.96% in after hours
BNI -2.15% in after hours
DECK -9.22% in after hours
MSFT -6.89% in after hours
MCD -6.89% in after hours
NFLX -0.99% in after hours
Friday: BDK
Stocks to Watch on Friday
Leading Stocks
Holding Above 30 DMA
PWRD, K, CPLA, ACN, PSYS, MHS, SLGN, AMED, ALGT, PPD, AMX, NFLX, BYI, CTSH, AAPL, BDX, DLTR, ESRX, PETS, USD, BIDU, FUQI, GMCR, HLF JOSB, AMZN, ATW, BAP, CAM, DECK, DLB, EBAY, FAS, GES, GILD, JCOM, NIHD, ORCL, PCLN, RCI, SNHY, TDG, TRLG, UYG, WRC, ESI, MOS, MUR, WCG, SNA, X, CBST, CHL, SWN, WAB, BLUD, CLB, HDB, JOYG, PCP, RIMM, URE, WMT, DV, EZPW, GME, MON, RBN, STRA
Moving Above 30 DMA = 11
AFAM, BIIB, CHL, CLB, FLS, HANS, HDB, JEC, PWR, VAR, VPRT
Moving Below 30 DMA = 2
GR, MCD
Staying Below 30 DMA
FAZ, BKC, APEI, NTLS, SYNA, GXDX, ICE, JW.A, MYGN, GPRO, SPWRA, FSLR
Intermediate Term Market Trend: Neutral
Short Term Market Trend: Up
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